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AL-4 House Race 2026 (Alabama)
Election day: November 3, 2026. The markets' leading names: Robert Aderholt, Amanda Pusczek.
Prediction markets
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- Robert Aderholt99%
- Amanda Pusczek<1%
- AL-04 House Election Margin of VictoryPolymarket
- Republican 50-55%27%▲12
- Republican 55-60%27%
- Republican 60-65%22%▼5
- Republican 45-50%15%▲6
- Republican 70-75%11%▼2
- Republican 65-70%7%
- + 3 more outcomes
Prediction-market prices show what traders are paying for each outcome, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong. Not betting or investment advice.
In the news
No coverage of this race in the index in the last two weeks.
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