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Who will launch a token this year? (Before Jan 1, 2027)
The odds
- Exponent18%▲ 3
- Arc13%▲ 1
- OpenSea12%▲ 5
- Felix8%▲ 1
- Ostium8%▼ 1
- Rabby7%
- Fomo6%▼ 1
- Phantom5%
- MetaMask4%
- Tempo4%
- Base4%▲ 1
- Abstract4%▼ 1
2 more
- CME Group4%▼ 6
- Unit3%
How the odds have moved
Exponent: 21% on Oct 13, 18% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exponent | 18% | ▲ 3 | 18¢ | 25¢ | 5.4K |
| Arc | 13% | ▲ 1 | 15¢ | 16¢ | 21.7K |
| OpenSea | 12% | ▲ 5 | 11¢ | 18¢ | 6.7K |
| Felix | 8% | ▲ 1 | 5¢ | 13¢ | 4.1K |
| Ostium | 8% | ▼ 1 | 7¢ | 11¢ | 6.1K |
| Rabby | 7% | 5¢ | 11¢ | 2.8K | |
| Fomo | 6% | ▼ 1 | 6¢ | 9¢ | 7.6K |
| Phantom | 5% | 3¢ | 9¢ | 3.2K | |
| MetaMask | 4% | 2¢ | 8¢ | 5.6K | |
| Tempo | 4% | 2¢ | 8¢ | 2.4K | |
| Base | 4% | ▲ 1 | 3¢ | 6¢ | 6.4K |
| Abstract | 4% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 7¢ | 7.8K |
| CME Group | 4% | ▼ 6 | 2¢ | 7¢ | 2.2K |
| Unit | 3% | 2¢ | 6¢ | 1.6K |
Related markets
All crypto ›What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $93,295.
- Reaches $90,00065%
- Reaches $95,00043%
- Reaches $100,00030%
- Reaches $110,00013%
- Falls to $70,00036%
- Falls to $65,00023%
- Falls to $60,00016%
- Falls to $55,00010%
Already reached: ↓ 60,000, ↑ 85,000, ↑ 80,000, ↑ 75,000, ↑ 70,000, ↑ 65,000
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
- by December 31, 20263%
- by March 31, 20279%▲ 1
- by June 30, 202714%
- by September 30, 202716%
1 more
- by December 31, 202726%▼ 7
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
- Reaches $3,00046%
- Reaches $3,50021%
- Reaches $4,00010%
- Reaches $4,5005%
- Falls to $2,25046%
- Falls to $2,00024%
- Falls to $1,75014%
- Falls to $1,5009%
Already reached: ↑ 2,750, ↑ 2,500, ↑ 2,250, ↑ 2,000, ↑ 1,750, ↑ 1,750
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $88,092 and as low as $79,728.
- Reaches $85,00083%
- Reaches $87,50055%
- Reaches $90,00036%
- Reaches $92,50020%
- Falls to $80,00053%
- Falls to $77,50030%
- Falls to $75,00020%
- Falls to $72,50011%
Already reached: ↑ 85,000, ↓ 82,500, ↓ 85,000, ↑ 85,000, ↓ 85,000, ↓ 85,000
Bitcoin all time high by ___?
- December 31, 20264%▼ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.