Epic Games vs Roblox - higher valuation on December 31?
92%Roblox▲ 2
- Roblox92%▲ 2
- Epic Games9%▼ 2
Install
Roblox hours engaged in Q3 (hours engaged in Q3 2026)
The odds
34.60Bmedian
31.00B43.00B
Median 34.60BMiddle half 33.77B – 35.92B
How the odds have moved
Median: 34.59B on Oct 13, 34.60B now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 32 billion | 97% | ▲ 6 | 96¢ | 98¢ | 15.8K |
| Above 33 billion | 89% | ▲ 7 | 88¢ | 89¢ | 11.8K |
| Above 34 billion | 71% | ▲ 36 | 70¢ | 72¢ | 11.1K |
| Above 35 billion | 36% | ▲ 18 | 32¢ | 40¢ | 11.9K |
| Above 36 billion | 24% | ▲ 12 | 21¢ | 27¢ | 7.8K |
| Above 37 billion | 14% | ▲ 4 | 12¢ | 15¢ | 4.4K |
| Above 38 billion | 10% | ▲ 5 | 9¢ | 10¢ | 8.9K |
| Above 39 billion | 10% | ▲ 4 | 7¢ | 8¢ | 11.6K |
| Above 40 billion | 10% | ▲ 10 | 8¢ | 16¢ | 5.0K |
| Above 41 billion | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | 6.2K | |
| Above 42 billion | 3% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 3¢ | 6.5K |
Related markets
All stocks & companies ›Which companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q4? (Q4 2026)
7%Roblox
- Twilio98%
- Cheniere Energy30%▼ 1
- Astera Labs23%▲ 3
- Roblox7%
31 more
- Credo Technology16%
- Okta12%
- Curtiss-Wright12%
- Southern Copper9%
- Cloudflare9%▼ 1
- Alnylam Pharmaceuticals9%
- HEICO9%
- LPL Financial9%
- ATI9%
- MongoDB9%
- Zoom9%
- Affirm Holdings9%
- Circle Internet Group9%
- Tradeweb Markets9%
- Rocket Companies9%
- Venture Global9%
- Toast9%
- TPG9%
- Snowflake9%
- Atlassian9%
- Natera9%
- BWX Technologies8%
- Guidewire Software8%
- Talen Energy8%
- Duolingo7%
- SoFi7%
- SpaceX7%▲ 5
- CoreWeave4%
- Medline2%
- Strategy (MicroStrategy)2%
- Cerebras2%
Largest Company end of December 2026?
76%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA76%▼ 8
- Apple22%▲ 8
- Alphabet2%
- Microsoft<1%
4 more
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
$2.42Thigh with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.42T.
- Reaches $1.5T93%
- Reaches $1.75T82%
- Reaches $2T69%
- Reaches $2.5T47%
- Falls to $800B3%
- Falls to $700B3%
- Falls to $600B2%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
Anthropic IPO by __?
Nov 30, 2026even chance by
- October 15, 2026<1%
- October 31, 2026<1%
- November 15, 20266%▲ 2
- November 30, 202653%▼ 2
2 more
- December 15, 202665%▲ 3
- December 31, 202670%▼ 3
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
26%$2.0–$2.25T
- $2.0–$2.25T26%▼ 3
- $1.75–$2.0T23%▲ 7
- $2.25–$2.5T21%▼ 2
- $2.5–$2.75T9%▼ 1
6 more
- $1.5–$1.75T9%▲ 2
- $1.25–$1.5T3%
- $3.0T+3%
- No IPO by December 31, 20272%▼ 1
- <$1.25T2%▼ 1
- $2.75–$3.0T2%▼ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.