Largest Company end of December 2026?
77%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA77%▼ 7
- Apple21%▲ 5
- Alphabet2%
- Microsoft<1%
4 more
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
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The odds
497,059median
350,0001.20M
Median 497,059Middle half 411,364 – 562,000
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 400,000 | 80% | 48¢ | 81¢ | 547 | |
| Above 450,000 | 58% | 55¢ | 61¢ | 2.5K | |
| Above 500,000 | 50% | 45¢ | 54¢ | 2.4K | |
| Above 550,000 | 28% | 24¢ | 32¢ | 2.3K | |
| Above 600,000 | 16% | 12¢ | 19¢ | 903 | |
| Above 650,000 | 11% | 8¢ | 14¢ | 2.9K | |
| Above 700,000 | 6% | 2¢ | 10¢ | 400 | |
| Above 750,000 | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | 400 | |
| Above 800,000 | 4% | 7¢ | 296 | ||
| Above 1,000,000 | 3% | 5¢ | 280 |
Related markets
All stocks & companies ›Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
$2.42Thigh with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.42T.
- Reaches $1.5T93%
- Reaches $1.75T82%
- Reaches $2T69%
- Reaches $2.5T47%
- Falls to $800B3%
- Falls to $700B3%
- Falls to $600B3%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
Anthropic IPO by __?
Nov 30, 2026even chance by
- October 15, 2026<1%
- October 31, 2026<1%
- November 15, 20266%▲ 2
- November 30, 202653%▼ 3
2 more
- December 15, 202663%▼ 4
- December 31, 202669%▼ 3
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
25%$2.0–$2.25T
- $2.0–$2.25T25%▼ 4
- $1.75–$2.0T24%▲ 8
- $2.25–$2.5T19%▼ 4
- $1.5–$1.75T11%▲ 4
6 more
- $2.5–$2.75T8%▼ 2
- $1.25–$1.5T4%▲ 1
- $3.0T+3%
- <$1.25T2%
- No IPO by December 31, 20272%▼ 1
- $2.75–$3.0T2%
Largest Company end of October 2026?
61%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA61%▼ 5
- Other33%
- Apple5%▲ 4
- Alphabet<1%
6 more
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Broadcom<1%
- Microsoft<1%
- Amazon<1%
- SpaceX<1%
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
11%PayPal
- PayPal11%▼ 1
- Perplexity AI11%▼ 1
- Viking Therapeutics10%▼ 4
- MGM Resorts8%▼ 1
10 more
- Zoom Video Communications6%
- Brown-Forman6%▲ 1
- GitLab5%
- Snapchat5%
- Lovable5%
- BP4%
- Nebius Group2%
- Ubisoft2%
- Anthropic2%
- OpenAI2%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.