How high will inflation get in 2026?
13%Above 4.5%
4%12%
Install
How high will inflation get this year? (In 2026)
The odds
18%At least 4.5%
- Reaches 4.5%18%
- Reaches 5%11%
- Reaches 5.5%9%
- Reaches 6%6%
- Reaches 6.5%6%
- Reaches 7%2%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 4.5% | 18% | 17¢ | 20¢ | 365.5K | |
| At least 5.0% | 11% | ▼ 2 | 8¢ | 14¢ | 115.2K |
| At least 5.5% | 9% | 6¢ | 12¢ | 50.3K | |
| At least 6.0% | 6% | 3¢ | 9¢ | 22.7K | |
| At least 6.5% | 6% | 2¢ | 9¢ | 7.0K | |
| At least 7.0% | 2% | 3¢ | 2.0K |
More on this question
All inflation & jobs ›CPI in September (In Sep 2026)
0.52%median
-0.5%1%
Median 0.52%Middle half 0.46% – 0.58%
Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
3.61%median
2.9%5.1%
Median 3.61%Middle half 3.54% – 3.67%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
3.82%median
2.9%5.1%
Median 3.82%Middle half 3.63% – 4.01%
CPI in October (In Oct 2026)
0.23%median
-0.2%1.1%
Median 0.23%Middle half 0.11% – 0.34%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY)
3.63%median
2.9%5.1%
Median 3.63%Middle half 3.45% – 3.97%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.