eBay gross merchandise volume in 2026

Kalshi Closes Mar 31, 2028 · 57.3K contracts · prices read 26 min ago

The odds

$87.92Bmedian
$83.5B$92.5B
Median $87.92BMiddle half $86.44B – $88.95B

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
Above $84 billion 95% ▲ 1 91¢ 99¢ 3.2K
Above $84.5 billion 88% ▲ 1 84¢ 92¢ 4.5K
Above $85 billion 86% ▲ 1 81¢ 90¢ 665
Above $85.5 billion 83% ▲ 1 79¢ 87¢ 168
Above $86 billion 79% ▲ 1 74¢ 83¢ 727
Above $86.5 billion 75% ▼ 3 70¢ 79¢ 1.4K
Above $87 billion 70% ▼ 2 66¢ 74¢ 2.6K
Above $87.5 billion 56% ▲ 1 51¢ 60¢ 1.9K
Above $88 billion 49% ▼ 2 45¢ 53¢ 2.1K
Above $88.5 billion 30% ▲ 1 26¢ 34¢ 1.3K
Above $89 billion 25% ▲ 1 20¢ 29¢ 941
Above $89.5 billion 22% ▲ 1 18¢ 26¢ 330
Above $90 billion 19% ▼ 3 15¢ 23¢ 85.00
Above $90.5 billion 16% ▼ 3 12¢ 20¢ 6.6K
Above $91 billion 14% ▼ 2 11¢ 17¢ 7.0K
Above $91.5 billion 7% 2¢ 12¢ 2.6K
Above $92 billion 5% 2¢ 7¢ 21.2K

Related markets

All stocks & companies ›

Which companies will be acquired this year? (Before Jan 1, 2027)

10%eBay▲ 3
  • PayPal19%▲ 2
  • Six Flags Entertainment17%▲ 4
  • Pinterest17%▲ 1
  • eBay10%▲ 3
20 more
  • Ornn16%▲ 1
  • Flock Safety14%▲ 1
  • Cordis14%▲ 1
  • SentinelOne12%
  • Viking Therapeutics12%▼ 1
  • ElevenLabs11%
  • Magnum Ice Cream Company11%
  • Snap9%▼ 2
  • GitLab9%
  • Perplexity AI8%▼ 1
  • Brown-Forman8%
  • MGM Resorts8%▼ 3
  • Nebius6%
  • BP6%
  • Zoom6%
  • Figma6%
  • Universal Music Group6%
  • Uber5%▲ 1
  • OpenAI3%
  • Anthropic3%

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

$2.42Thigh with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.42T.

  • Reaches $1.5T93%
  • Reaches $1.75T82%
  • Reaches $2T69%
  • Reaches $2.5T47%
  • Falls to $800B3%
  • Falls to $700B3%
  • Falls to $600B2%

Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.