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Duolingo paid subscribers in fiscal 2026
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: 13.75M on Oct 1, 13.59M now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 13.4 million | 76% | ▼ 9 | 71¢ | 81¢ | 21.00 |
| Above 13.6 million | 49% | ▼ 19 | 44¢ | 54¢ | 188 |
| Above 13.8 million | 22% | ▼ 23 | 17¢ | 26¢ | 46.00 |
| Above 14 million | 8% | ▼ 17 | 3¢ | 12¢ | 14.00 |
| Above 14.2 million | 5% | ▼ 7 | 2¢ | 7¢ | 169 |
| Above 14.4 million | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | 507 | |
| Above 14.6 million | 3% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 5¢ | 113 |
Related markets
All stocks & companies ›Which companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q4? (Q4 2026)
- Twilio98%▼ 1
- Cheniere Energy32%▼ 3
- Astera Labs26%▲ 5
- Duolingo3%▼ 2
31 more
- Okta22%
- Credo Technology16%▼ 12
- Alnylam Pharmaceuticals14%▲ 3
- MongoDB12%▼ 2
- SoFi11%▼ 3
- Affirm Holdings11%▲ 3
- HEICO9%▼ 1
- Rocket Companies9%
- Southern Copper9%
- LPL Financial9%
- ATI9%▼ 5
- Tradeweb Markets9%
- Venture Global9%
- TPG9%
- Snowflake9%
- Atlassian9%
- Natera9%
- Talen Energy8%
- Zoom7%▲ 2
- Curtiss-Wright7%▲ 2
- Toast7%▲ 2
- Cloudflare7%
- Roblox6%▲ 1
- BWX Technologies6%▲ 2
- SpaceX6%▲ 1
- Medline4%
- CoreWeave4%
- Circle Internet Group3%▼ 1
- Guidewire Software3%▼ 1
- Strategy (MicroStrategy)2%
- Cerebras2%
Largest Company end of December 2026?
- Apple60%▲ 19
- NVIDIA38%▼ 21
- Microsoft2%▲ 1
- Alphabet1%
4 more
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
Anthropic IPO by __?
- November 15, 20261%
- November 16, 20265%▼ 3
- November 17, 20266%▼ 3
- November 18, 202620%▼ 3
8 more
- November 19, 202636%▼ 6
- November 20, 202664%▲ 1
- November 23, 202666%▲ 1
- November 24, 202671%▼ 8
- November 25, 202675%▼ 9
- November 30, 202683%▼ 1
- December 15, 202688%▼ 1
- December 31, 202691%▲ 1
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- SpaceX67%▲ 2
- Anthropic29%▼ 1
- xAI21%
- OpenAI<1%
9 more
- ByteDance<1%
- Stripe<1%
- Databricks<1%
- SHEIN<1%
- Waymo<1%
- Revolut<1%
- Discord<1%
- Perplexity AI<1%
- Kraken<1%
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.08T.
- Reaches $1.5T93%
- Reaches $1.75T79%
- Reaches $2T62%
- Reaches $2.25T26%
- Falls to $800B2%
- Falls to $700B2%
- Falls to $600B1%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use. How to use Finance