American Express headcount in fiscal 2026

Kalshi Closes May 14, 2027 · 11.4K contracts · prices read 30 min ago

The odds

76,500median
70,00081,000
Median 76,500Middle half 75,351 – 77,500

How the odds have moved

Median: 77,200 on Oct 13, 76,500 now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
Above 71 thousand 97% 94¢ 99¢
Above 72 thousand 96% ▲ 1 93¢ 99¢
Above 73 thousand 95% ▲ 1 91¢ 99¢ 45.00
Above 74 thousand 90% ▲ 1 86¢ 94¢ 1.4K
Above 75 thousand 82% ▲ 1 77¢ 86¢ 2.5K
Above 76 thousand 63% ▼ 9 60¢ 66¢ 6.5K
Above 77 thousand 37% ▼ 8 33¢ 41¢ 208
Above 78 thousand 13% ▼ 2 9¢ 17¢ 211
Above 79 thousand 7% 3¢ 11¢ 5.00
Above 80 thousand 6% 4¢ 8¢ 624

Related markets

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Anthropic IPO by __?

Nov 19, 2026even chance by
  • October 31, 2026<1%▼ 1
  • November 15, 20263%▼ 1
  • November 16, 20266%
  • November 17, 202613%
9 more
  • November 18, 202628%
  • November 19, 202652%
  • November 20, 202668%▲ 1
  • November 23, 202672%
  • November 24, 202672%
  • November 25, 202684%▼ 3
  • November 30, 202689%▼ 4
  • December 15, 202692%▼ 2
  • December 31, 202694%▼ 1

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

$2.15Thigh with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.15T.

  • Reaches $1.5T96%
  • Reaches $1.75T84%
  • Reaches $2T70%
  • Reaches $2.25T38%
  • Falls to $800B4%
  • Falls to $700B4%
  • Falls to $600B3%

Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

31%$1.75–$2.0T
  • $1.75–$2.0T31%▲ 2
  • $2.0–$2.25T22%▲ 2
  • $1.5–$1.75T17%▼ 1
  • $2.25–$2.5T11%▼ 1
6 more
  • $1.25–$1.5T5%▼ 2
  • $2.5–$2.75T4%▲ 1
  • No IPO by December 31, 20273%▼ 1
  • <$1.25T3%▼ 2
  • $2.75–$3.0T2%
  • $3.0T+2%▼ 1

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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