Predictions › Stocks & companies American Express cards-in-force in Q1 2027 Kalshi Closes Aug 20, 2027 · prices read 28 min ago
Not enough history yet.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Stripe 66% American Express 35%
155.00M 164.00M
Median 156.89M Middle half 156.38M – 158.00M
70,000 81,000
Median 76,500 Middle half 75,351 – 77,500
October 31, 2026 <1% ▼ 1 November 15, 2026 3% ▼ 1 November 16, 2026 6% November 17, 2026 13% 9 more November 18, 2026 28% November 19, 2026 52% November 20, 2026 68% ▲ 1 November 23, 2026 72% November 24, 2026 72% November 25, 2026 84% ▼ 3 November 30, 2026 89% ▼ 4 December 15, 2026 92% ▼ 2 December 31, 2026 94% ▼ 1 Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.15T .
Reaches $1.5T 96% Reaches $1.75T 84% Reaches $2T 70% Reaches $2.25T 38% Falls to $800B 4% Falls to $700B 4% Falls to $600B 3% Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
$1.75–$2.0T 31% ▲ 2 $2.0–$2.25T 22% ▲ 2 $1.5–$1.75T 17% ▼ 1 $2.25–$2.5T 11% ▼ 1 6 more $1.25–$1.5T 5% ▼ 2 $2.5–$2.75T 4% ▲ 1 No IPO by December 31, 2027 3% ▼ 1 <$1.25T 3% ▼ 2 $2.75–$3.0T 2% $3.0T+ 2% ▼ 1 Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Settles on Fiscal.ai
Trading closes Aug 20, 2027 12:00 AM ET
Traded —
Prices read 28 min ago
Followed since Oct 27, 2026
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Reading the odds Each price is the market's probability: a contract at 84¢ that pays $1 if the outcome happens means traders give it an 84% chance. The number shown is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
The strikes' odds give a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way, and the middle half spans the 25th to the 75th percentile.
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