Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on October 13?
$538.82median
$510$570
Median $538.82Middle half $533.44 – $545Above today's price 40%
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Microsoft’s Market Cap end of 2026?
The odds
$3.75Tmedian
Microsoft Corporation now 541.15 +1.14% $2T$5.5T
Median $3.75TMiddle half $2.87T – $4.62TAbove today's price —
How the odds have moved
Median: $3.75T on Oct 13, $3.75T now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <$2.50T | 14% | 0¢ | 100¢ | ||
| $2.50-$3.00T | 14% | 0¢ | 100¢ | ||
| $3.00-$3.50T | 14% | 0¢ | 100¢ | ||
| $3.50-$4.00T | 14% | 0¢ | 100¢ | ||
| $4.00-$4.50T | 14% | 0¢ | 100¢ | ||
| $4.50-$5.00T | 14% | 0¢ | 100¢ | ||
| $5.00T+ | 14% | 0¢ | 100¢ |
Related markets
All stocks & companies ›What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit Week of October 12 2026?
$548.64high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $548.64 and as low as $529.32.
- Reaches $547.5055%
- Reaches $55525%
- Reaches $562.5012%
- Reaches $57010%
- Falls to $532.5064%
- Falls to $52531%
- Falls to $517.5013%
- Falls to $51012%
Already reached: ↑ $540, ↓ $540
Microsoft (MSFT) closes week of Oct 12 at ___?
$531.83median
$480$590
Median $531.83Middle half $491.31 – $548.12Above today's price 35%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above ___ end of October?
$539.06median
$420$630
Median $539.06Middle half $509.21 – $568.33Above today's price 48%
What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in October 2026?
$565.71high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $565.71 and as low as $512.18.
- Reaches $55568%
- Reaches $57043%
- Reaches $58527%
- Reaches $60017%
- Falls to $52574%
- Falls to $51046%
- Falls to $49525%
- Falls to $48014%
Already reached: ↑ $540, ↑ $525, ↑ $510, ↓ $525, ↓ $525, ↓ $525
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?
74%Microsoft
- Microsoft74%
- Anthropic + OpenAI 27%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.