Predictions › Stocks & companies Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on October 13? Polymarket Closes today 4:00 PM ET · $9.88 traded · prices read 5 min ago
$510 $570
Median $539.33 Middle half $533.78 – $545.43 Above today's price 42%
Median: $538.56 on Oct 13, $539.33 now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $549.28 and as low as $529.69 .
Reaches $547.50 57% Reaches $555 28% Reaches $562.50 12% Reaches $570 10% Falls to $532.50 62% Falls to $525 30% Falls to $517.50 14% Falls to $510 12% Already reached: ↑ $540, ↓ $540
$460 $600
Median $539.46 Middle half $530.54 – $551.25 Above today's price 46%
$420 $630
Median $539.46 Middle half $510 – $568.85 Above today's price 49%
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $566.04 and as low as $512.22 .
Reaches $555 70% Reaches $570 43% Reaches $585 27% Reaches $600 12% Falls to $525 73% Falls to $510 46% Falls to $495 25% Falls to $480 13% Already reached: ↑ $540, ↑ $525, ↑ $510, ↓ $525, ↓ $525, ↓ $525
Microsoft 74% Anthropic + OpenAI 27%
$2T $5.5T
Median $3.75T Middle half $2.87T – $4.62T Above today's price —
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Settles on Pyth price feed
Trading closes Oct 13, 2026 4:00 PM ET
Traded $9.88 traded
Prices read 5 min ago
Followed since Oct 12, 2026
The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket .
Reading the odds Each price is the market's probability: a contract at 84¢ that pays $1 if the outcome happens means traders give it an 84% chance. The number shown is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
The strikes' odds give a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way, and the middle half spans the 25th to the 75th percentile.
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Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use .