Bank of England decision in November?
90%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase90%▼ 1
- No change10%
- 50+ bps increase<1%
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
1 more
- 25 bps decrease<1%
Install
Will GBP/USD hit __ in 2026?
The odds
43%↑1.40
GBP/USD now 1.3218 +0.06% - Reaches 1.400043%
- Reaches 1.450014%
- Reaches 1.500013%
- Reaches 1.550013%
- Reaches 1.600011%
- Reaches 1.70003%
- Falls to 1.300043%
- Falls to 1.250033%
- Falls to 1.200023%
- Falls to 1.100014%
- Falls to 1.000012%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑1.40 | 43% | ▲ 2 | 12¢ | 74¢ | $18.00 |
| ↑1.45 | 14% | 9¢ | 19¢ | $3.6K | |
| ↑1.50 | 13% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | 15¢ | $86.00 |
| ↑1.55 | 13% | ▲ 1 | 9¢ | 23¢ | $166 |
| ↑1.60 | 11% | ▲ 1 | 4¢ | 18¢ | $15.1K |
| ↑1.70 | 3% | 2¢ | 5¢ | $1.3K | |
| ↓1.00 | 12% | 8¢ | 17¢ | $1.4K | |
| ↓1.10 | 14% | 8¢ | 19¢ | $119 | |
| ↓1.20 | 23% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | 38¢ | $173 |
| ↓1.25 | 33% | ▲ 1 | 13¢ | 52¢ | $37.6K |
| ↓1.30 | 43% | ▼ 3 | 15¢ | 71¢ | $2.2K |
More on this question
All commodities & fx ›Bank of England rate decision in December (Dec 17, 2026 meeting)
50%Hike 1-25bps
- Hike 1-25bps50%
- Maintain current rate30%
- Hike more than 25bps10%
- Cut 1-25bps8%
1 more
- Cut more than 25bps2%
What will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit in October 2026?
103.16high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 103.16 and as low as 101.67.
- Reaches 103.0059%
- Reaches 103.5032%
- Reaches 104.0018%
- Reaches 104.5018%
- Falls to 102.50>99%
- Falls to 102.0071%
- Falls to 101.5039%
- Falls to 101.0017%
Already reached: ↑ 102.50, ↑ 102.00, ↑ 101.50, ↑ 102.00, ↑ 102.50, ↓ 102.00
Will USD/KRW hit __ in 2026?
48%↓1300
- Reaches 1,6009%
- Reaches 1,6507%
- Reaches 1,7006%
- Reaches 1,8004%
- Falls to 1,30048%
- Falls to 1,20012%
- Falls to 1,10011%
- Falls to 1,00011%
Already reached: ↑1550, ↑1500, ↓1400, ↓1350
Will EUR/USD hit __ in 2026?
52%↓ 1.10
Traders see as low as 1.0983.
- Reaches 1.200022%
- Reaches 1.220012%
- Reaches 1.24005%
- Reaches 1.26005%
- Falls to 1.100052%
- Falls to 1.05008%
- Falls to 1.00007%
Already reached: ↓ 1.16, ↓ 1.14, ↓ 1.12
Will USD/JPY hit __ in 2026?
31%↓150
- Reaches 165.0026%
- Reaches 170.0011%
- Reaches 175.009%
- Reaches 180.006%
- Falls to 150.0031%
- Falls to 140.0013%
- Falls to 130.002%
- Falls to 120.002%
Already reached: ↑160
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.