EURUSD price on Oct 16 at 5:00 PM EDT (Oct 16, 2026 at 5pm ET)
1.1170median
1.09501.1370
Median 1.1170Middle half 1.1121 – 1.1223Above today's price 47%
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Will EUR/USD hit __ in 2026?
The odds
52%↓ 1.10
EUR/USD now 1.1177 +0.15% Traders see as low as 1.0983.
- Reaches 1.200022%
- Reaches 1.220012%
- Reaches 1.24005%
- Reaches 1.26005%
- Reaches 1.30005%
- Reaches 1.35002%
- Reaches 1.40002%
- Falls to 1.100052%
- Falls to 1.05008%
- Falls to 1.00007%
Already reached: ↓ 1.16, ↓ 1.14, ↓ 1.12
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 1.20 | 22% | ▲ 1 | 9¢ | 35¢ | $41.2K |
| ↑ 1.22 | 12% | ▲ 1 | 7¢ | 17¢ | $651 |
| ↑ 1.24 | 5% | 3¢ | 5¢ | $3.0K | |
| ↑ 1.26 | 5% | 2¢ | 10¢ | $3.1K | |
| ↑ 1.30 | 5% | 2¢ | 10¢ | $1.3K | |
| ↑ 1.35 | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $6.3K | |
| ↑ 1.40 | 2% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $2.2K | |
| ↓ 1.00 | 7% | ▲ 1 | 5¢ | 10¢ | $5.1K |
| ↓ 1.05 | 8% | 7¢ | 10¢ | $6.8K | |
| ↓ 1.10 | 52% | 41¢ | 62¢ | $4.0K | |
| ✓ ↓ 1.12 | >99% | ▲ 38 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $3.9K |
| ✓ ↓ 1.14 | >99% | ▲ 12 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $10.1K |
| ✓ ↓ 1.16 | >99% | ▲ 1 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $9.9K |
More on this question
All commodities & fx ›EUR/USD price range on Oct 13, 2026 at 10am EDT?
1.1170median
1.10401.1340
Median 1.1170Middle half 1.1149 – 1.1190Above today's price 40%
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
91%No change
- No change91%▼ 1
- 25 bps increase8%▲ 3
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
- 25 bps decrease<1%
1 more
- 50+ bps increase<1%
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
22%chance
European Central Bank rate decision in December (Dec 17, 2026 meeting)
73%Hike 1-25bps
- Hike 1-25bps73%
- Maintain current rate20%
- Hike more than 25bps3%▼ 1
- Cut 1-25bps2%▼ 1
1 more
- Cut more than 25bps1%▼ 1
What will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit in October 2026?
103.16high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 103.16 and as low as 101.67.
- Reaches 103.0059%
- Reaches 103.5032%
- Reaches 104.0018%
- Reaches 104.5018%
- Falls to 102.50>99%
- Falls to 102.0071%
- Falls to 101.5039%
- Falls to 101.0017%
Already reached: ↑ 102.50, ↑ 102.00, ↑ 101.50, ↑ 102.00, ↑ 102.50, ↓ 102.00
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.