Predictions › Commodities & FX Will Newmont (NEM) Q3 total attributable gold production be above __? Polymarket Closes Oct 22 · $730 traded · prices read 2 min ago
1,200 koz 84% 1,250 koz 72% 1,300 koz 49% 1,350 koz 14% 1,400 koz 10%
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $4,241 and as low as $4,114 .
Reaches $4,250 44% Reaches $4,300 19% Reaches $4,350 7% Reaches $4,400 1% Falls to $4,150 74% Falls to $4,100 41% Falls to $4,050 17% Falls to $4,000 5% Already reached: ↑ $4,200
$3,728 $4,548
Median $4,179 Middle half $4,124 – $4,233 Above today's price 38%
$3,313 $4,953
Median $4,183 Middle half $4,056 – $4,299 Above today's price 46%
$3,964 $4,374
Median $4,178 Middle half $4,156 – $4,201 Above today's price 23%
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $4,311 and as low as $4,045 .
Reaches $4,300 53% Reaches $4,400 26% Reaches $4,500 9% Reaches $4,600 4% Falls to $4,100 71% Falls to $4,000 34% Falls to $3,900 10% Falls to $3,800 6% Already reached: ↓ $4,200, ↓ $4,100, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200
$4,200 $5,600
Median $4,310 Above today's price —
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Trading closes Oct 22, 2026 6:00 PM ET
Traded $730 traded
Prices read 2 min ago
Followed since Oct 12, 2026
The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket .
Reading the odds Each price is the market's probability: a contract at 84¢ that pays $1 if the outcome happens means traders give it an 84% chance. The number shown is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
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Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use .