Predictions › Commodities & FX Gold price on Oct 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Kalshi Closes Fri 5:00 PM ET · 5.6K contracts · prices read just now
$3,728 $4,548
Median $4,179 Middle half $4,124 – $4,233 Above today's price 38%
Not enough history yet.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $4,241 and as low as $4,114 .
Reaches $4,250 44% Reaches $4,300 19% Reaches $4,350 7% Reaches $4,400 1% Falls to $4,150 74% Falls to $4,100 41% Falls to $4,050 17% Falls to $4,000 5% Already reached: ↑ $4,200
$3,964 $4,374
Median $4,178 Middle half $4,156 – $4,201 Above today's price 23%
1,200 koz 84% 1,250 koz 72% 1,300 koz 49% 1,350 koz 14% 1 more
$3,313 $4,953
Median $4,183 Middle half $4,056 – $4,299 Above today's price 46%
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $4,311 and as low as $4,045 .
Reaches $4,300 53% Reaches $4,400 26% Reaches $4,500 9% Reaches $4,600 4% Falls to $4,100 71% Falls to $4,000 34% Falls to $3,900 10% Falls to $3,800 6% Already reached: ↓ $4,200, ↓ $4,100, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200
$4,200 $5,600
Median $4,310 Above today's price —
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Settles on Pyth - Gold
Trading closes Oct 16, 2026 5:00 PM ET
Traded 5.6K contracts
Prices read just now
Followed since Oct 12, 2026
The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi .
Reading the odds Each price is the market's probability: a contract at 84¢ that pays $1 if the outcome happens means traders give it an 84% chance. The number shown is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
The strikes' odds give a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way, and the middle half spans the 25th to the 75th percentile.
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Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use .