Gold price on Oct 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Kalshi Closes Fri 5:00 PM ET · 5.6K contracts · prices read just now

The odds

$3,728$4,548
Median $4,179Middle half $4,124 – $4,233Above today's price 38%

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
Above $3747.99 100% 99¢
Above $3767.99 100% 99¢
Above $3787.99 100% 99¢
Above $3807.99 100% 99¢
Above $3827.99 100% 99¢
Above $3847.99 100% 99¢
Above $3867.99 100% 99¢
Above $3887.99 100% 99¢
Above $3907.99 100% ▲ 1 99¢
Above $3927.99 99% 98¢
Above $3947.99 99% 98¢ 10.00
Above $3967.99 99% ▲ 1 98¢ 5.00
Above $3987.99 98% ▼ 1 97¢ 98¢ 7.00
Above $4007.99 97% ▼ 1 96¢ 97¢ 5.00
Above $4027.99 95% ▼ 1 94¢ 96¢ 13.00
Above $4047.99 93% ▼ 1 92¢ 94¢ 413
Above $4067.99 90% ▼ 2 89¢ 91¢ 1.00
Above $4087.99 86% ▼ 3 84¢ 88¢ 1.3K
Above $4107.99 81% ▼ 5 79¢ 82¢ 342
Above $4127.99 74% ▼ 6 72¢ 75¢
Above $4147.99 65% ▼ 9 63¢ 66¢ 1.00
Above $4167.99 55% ▼ 12 53¢ 57¢ 803
Above $4187.99 46% ▼ 13 44¢ 47¢ 314
Above $4207.99 36% ▼ 14 34¢ 37¢ 205
Above $4227.99 27% ▼ 14 26¢ 28¢ 1.3K
Above $4247.99 20% ▼ 13 18¢ 21¢ 3.00
Above $4267.99 14% ▼ 12 12¢ 15¢ 3.00
Above $4287.99 10% ▼ 10 9¢ 10¢ 31.00
Above $4307.99 7% ▼ 7 6¢ 8¢ 23.00
Above $4327.99 4% ▼ 7 3¢ 5¢ 224
Above $4347.99 3% ▼ 5 2¢ 4¢
Above $4367.99 2% ▼ 4 1¢ 3¢
Above $4387.99 1% ▼ 3 2¢ 460
Above $4407.99 1% ▼ 2 2¢
Above $4427.99 1% ▼ 1 2¢
Above $4447.99 1% ▼ 2 1¢ 185
Above $4467.99 1% ▼ 1 1¢
Above $4487.99 1% ▼ 1 1¢
Above $4507.99 1% ▼ 1 1¢
Above $4527.99 1% ▼ 1 1¢

More on this question

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What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?

$4,311high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $4,311 and as low as $4,045.

  • Reaches $4,30053%
  • Reaches $4,40026%
  • Reaches $4,5009%
  • Reaches $4,6004%
  • Falls to $4,10071%
  • Falls to $4,00034%
  • Falls to $3,90010%
  • Falls to $3,8006%

Already reached: ↓ $4,200, ↓ $4,100, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.