Gold price on Oct 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
$4,179median
$3,728$4,548
Median $4,179Middle half $4,124 – $4,233Above today's price 38%
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What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of October 12 2026?
The odds
$4,241high with an even chance
Gold now 4,202.10 +0.27% Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $4,241 and as low as $4,114.
- Reaches $4,25044%
- Reaches $4,30019%
- Reaches $4,3507%
- Reaches $4,4001%
- Reaches $4,4501%
- Reaches $4,5001%
- Falls to $4,15074%
- Falls to $4,10041%
- Falls to $4,05017%
- Falls to $4,0005%
- Falls to $3,9503%
- Falls to $3,9002%
- Falls to $3,8502%
Already reached: ↑ $4,200
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ ↑ $4,200 | >99% | ▲ 25 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1.5K |
| ↑ $4,200 | 82% | 81¢ | 82¢ | $913 | |
| ↑ $4,250 | 44% | ▼ 22 | 42¢ | 45¢ | $1.5K |
| ↑ $4,300 | 19% | ▼ 18 | 17¢ | 20¢ | $611 |
| ↑ $4,350 | 7% | ▼ 14 | 5¢ | 8¢ | $2.6K |
| ↑ $4,400 | 1% | ▼ 8 | 1¢ | 2¢ | $5.0K |
| ↑ $4,450 | 1% | ▼ 4 | 1¢ | 1¢ | $181 |
| ↑ $4,500 | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $114 | |
| ↓ $3,850 | 2% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 2¢ | |
| ↓ $3,900 | 2% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 3¢ | $315 |
| ↓ $3,950 | 3% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 5¢ | $877 |
| ↓ $4,000 | 5% | ▼ 2 | 3¢ | 6¢ | $2.4K |
| ↓ $4,050 | 17% | 15¢ | 18¢ | $1.2K | |
| ↓ $4,100 | 41% | ▲ 8 | 37¢ | 44¢ | $1.5K |
| ↓ $4,150 | 74% | ▲ 13 | 73¢ | 75¢ | $4.7K |
More on this question
All commodities & fx ›Gold price on Oct 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
$4,178median
$3,964$4,374
Median $4,178Middle half $4,156 – $4,201Above today's price 23%
Will Newmont (NEM) Q3 total attributable gold production be above __?
84%1,200 koz
- 1,200 koz84%
- 1,250 koz72%
- 1,300 koz49%
- 1,350 koz14%
1 more
- 1,400 koz10%
Gold price on October 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
$4,183median
$3,313$4,953
Median $4,183Middle half $4,056 – $4,299Above today's price 46%
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?
$4,311high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $4,311 and as low as $4,045.
- Reaches $4,30053%
- Reaches $4,40026%
- Reaches $4,5009%
- Reaches $4,6004%
- Falls to $4,10071%
- Falls to $4,00034%
- Falls to $3,90010%
- Falls to $3,8006%
Already reached: ↓ $4,200, ↓ $4,100, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200
Gold price at year end? (On December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST)
$4,310median
$4,200$5,600
Median $4,310Above today's price —
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.