What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?

Polymarket Closes Oct 31 · $203.7K traded · prices read 2 min ago

The odds

$4,311high with an even chance
Gold now 4,202.10 +0.27%

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $4,311 and as low as $4,045.

  • Reaches $4,30053%
  • Reaches $4,40026%
  • Reaches $4,5009%
  • Reaches $4,6004%
  • Reaches $4,7002%
  • Reaches $4,8001%
  • Reaches $4,9001%
  • Falls to $4,10071%
  • Falls to $4,00034%
  • Falls to $3,90010%
  • Falls to $3,8006%
  • Falls to $3,7002%
  • Falls to $3,6001%

Already reached: ↓ $4,200, ↓ $4,100, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Traded
✓ ↑ $4,200 >99% 100¢ 100¢ $6.1K
✓ ↑ $4,200 >99% ▲ 28 100¢ 100¢ $7.5K
✓ ↑ $4,200 >99% 100¢ 100¢ $283
✓ ↑ $4,200 >99% ▲ 27 100¢ 100¢ $1.2K
↑ $4,200 89% 88¢ 90¢ $455
↑ $4,300 53% ▼ 14 52¢ 54¢ $9.4K
↑ $4,400 26% ▼ 8 24¢ 27¢ $11.6K
↑ $4,500 9% ▼ 3 7¢ 10¢ $11.5K
↑ $4,600 4% ▼ 4 3¢ 4¢ $8.4K
↑ $4,700 2% 2¢ 2¢ $14.8K
↑ $4,800 1% 1¢ 1¢ $9.1K
↑ $4,900 1% 1¢ 1¢ $8.2K
↓ $3,600 1% 1¢ 1¢ $9.3K
↓ $3,700 2% ▲ 1 2¢ 2¢ $15.4K
↓ $3,800 6% ▲ 1 5¢ 7¢ $23.4K
↓ $3,900 10% ▲ 1 8¢ 11¢ $24.5K
↓ $4,000 34% ▲ 3 32¢ 35¢ $16.5K
✓ ↓ $4,100 >99% ▲ 20 100¢ 100¢ $18.3K
↓ $4,100 71% ▲ 14 69¢ 72¢ $7.3K
✓ ↓ $4,200 >99% ▲ 35 100¢ 100¢ $591

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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