Predictions › Commodities & FX US imports Russian diesel by October 31? Polymarket Closes Oct 31 · $176.4K traded · prices read 2 min ago
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $97.99 and as low as $86.01 .
Reaches $95 72% Reaches $100 36% Reaches $105 14% Reaches $110 11% Falls to $90 86% Falls to $85 41% Falls to $80 19% Falls to $75 9% Already reached: ↑ $90, ↓ $90, ↓ $90, ↓ $90, ↑ $90, ↑ $90
March 31, 2027 14% December 31 14% ▲ 1 Reaches $4,500 50% Reaches $5,000 21% Reaches $6,000 5% Reaches $7,000 3% Falls to $3,500 12% Falls to $3,000 4% Falls to $2,500 3% Reaches $115 33% Reaches $120 27% Reaches $125 18% Reaches $130 15% Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $95.22 and as low as $88.53 .
Reaches $95 52% Reaches $100 6% Reaches $105 3% Reaches $110 2% Falls to $90 65% Falls to $85 14% Falls to $80 4% Falls to $75 4% Already reached: ↓ $90
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $4,311 and as low as $4,045 .
Reaches $4,300 53% Reaches $4,400 26% Reaches $4,500 9% Reaches $4,600 4% Falls to $4,100 71% Falls to $4,000 34% Falls to $3,900 10% Falls to $3,800 6% Already reached: ↓ $4,200, ↓ $4,100, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Trading closes Oct 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET
Traded $176.4K traded
Prices read 2 min ago
Followed since Oct 12, 2026
The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket .
Reading the odds Each price is the market's probability: a contract at 84¢ that pays $1 if the outcome happens means traders give it an 84% chance. The number shown is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
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Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use .