S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 13?
$776.62median
$750$810
Median $776.62Middle half $773.51 – $779.07Above today's price 35%
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What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 12 2026?
The odds
$782.50high with an even chance
SPY now 778.10 −0.06% Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $782.50 and as low as $770.37.
- Reaches $78071%
- Reaches $78529%
- Reaches $79010%
- Reaches $7956%
- Reaches $8006%
- Reaches $8056%
- Reaches $8106%
- Falls to $77582%
- Falls to $77048%
- Falls to $76521%
- Falls to $7605%
- Falls to $7555%
- Falls to $7505%
- Falls to $7455%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $780 | 71% | ▼ 20 | 70¢ | 72¢ | $2.4K |
| ↑ $785 | 29% | ▼ 37 | 27¢ | 31¢ | $1.1K |
| ↑ $790 | 10% | ▼ 27 | 8¢ | 11¢ | $1.9K |
| ↑ $795 | 6% | ▼ 12 | 2¢ | 5¢ | $1.1K |
| ↑ $800 | 6% | ▼ 2 | 0¢ | 6¢ | $340 |
| ↑ $805 | 6% | ▲ 3 | 0¢ | 10¢ | $9.00 |
| ↑ $810 | 6% | ▲ 9 | 1¢ | 20¢ | |
| ↓ $745 | 5% | ▲ 3 | 1¢ | 10¢ | $9.00 |
| ↓ $750 | 5% | ▲ 4 | 0¢ | 13¢ | |
| ↓ $755 | 5% | ▼ 2 | 1¢ | 5¢ | $44.00 |
| ↓ $760 | 5% | ▼ 2 | 4¢ | 5¢ | $4.5K |
| ↓ $765 | 21% | ▲ 4 | 20¢ | 21¢ | $901 |
| ↓ $770 | 48% | ▲ 16 | 46¢ | 49¢ | $552 |
| ↓ $775 | 82% | ▲ 27 | 79¢ | 84¢ | $1.3K |
More on this question
All indexes ›What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?
$789.13high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $789.13 and as low as $763.44.
- Reaches $78082%
- Reaches $79047%
- Reaches $80020%
- Reaches $8108%
- Falls to $77071%
- Falls to $76039%
- Falls to $75025%
- Falls to $74010%
Already reached: ↑ $780, ↑ $770, ↓ $760, ↑ $770, ↑ $770, ↓ $780
S&P price range on Oct 16, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
7,803median
7,3758,125
Median 7,803Middle half 7,564 – 7,959Above today's price 51%
S&P close price end of 2026?
7,892median
3,8009,200
Median 7,892Middle half 7,514 – 8,141Above today's price 58%
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
8,030high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 8,030 and as low as 7,341.
- Reaches 8,00052%
- Reaches 8,20042%
- Reaches 8,6008%
- Reaches 9,0005%
- Falls to 7,40060%
- Falls to 7,20026%
- Falls to 7,00021%
- Falls to 6,2009%
Already reached: ↑ $7,800, ↑ $7,600, ↑ $7,400, ↓ $6,600, ↓ $6,400
What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?
7,670median
5,5008,500
Median 7,670Middle half 7,107 – 8,154Above today's price 44%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.