S&P 500 Daily Up/Down (Oct 13, 2026)
59%chance
Install
S&P price range on Oct 16, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
The odds
7,821median
S&P 500 now 7,807.24 −0.06% 7,3758,125
Median 7,821Middle half 7,628 – 8,081Above today's price 62%
How the odds have moved
Median: 7,806 on Oct 13, 7,821 now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7,399.9999 or below | 3% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | ||
| 7,400 to 7,424.9999 | 2% | ▼ 1 | 4¢ | ||
| 7,425 to 7,449.9999 | 2% | ▼ 1 | 4¢ | ||
| 7,450 to 7,474.9999 | 2% | ▼ 1 | 4¢ | ||
| 7,475 to 7,499.9999 | 2% | ▼ 1 | 4¢ | ||
| 7,500 to 7,524.9999 | 3% | 5¢ | |||
| 7,525 to 7,549.9999 | 3% | ▼ 2 | 5¢ | ||
| 7,550 to 7,574.9999 | 3% | ▼ 2 | 6¢ | ||
| 7,575 to 7,599.9999 | 3% | 6¢ | |||
| 7,600 to 7,624.9999 | 3% | ▼ 1 | 6¢ | ||
| 7,625 to 7,649.9999 | 4% | 7¢ | |||
| 7,650 to 7,674.9999 | 4% | 8¢ | |||
| 7,675 to 7,699.9999 | 5% | ▲ 1 | 10¢ | ||
| 7,800 to 7,824.9999 | 15% | ▲ 6 | 11¢ | 19¢ | 80.00 |
| 7,925 to 7,949.9999 | 5% | 10¢ | |||
| 7,950 to 7,974.9999 | 5% | 9¢ | |||
| 7,975 to 7,999.9999 | 4% | 8¢ | |||
| 8,000 to 8,024.9999 | 3% | 6¢ | |||
| 8,025 to 8,049.9999 | 3% | ▼ 1 | 6¢ | ||
| 8,050 to 8,074.9999 | 3% | 5¢ | |||
| 8,075 to 8,099.9999 | 3% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | ||
| 8,100 or above | 23% | 17¢ | 4.00 |
More on this question
All indexes ›What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
8,094high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 8,094 and as low as 7,341.
- Reaches 8,00058%
- Reaches 8,20041%
- Reaches 8,6008%
- Reaches 9,0005%
- Falls to 7,40060%
- Falls to 7,20026%
- Falls to 7,00021%
- Falls to 6,2009%
Already reached: ↑ $7,800, ↑ $7,600, ↑ $7,400, ↓ $6,600, ↓ $6,400
S&P close price end of 2026?
7,900median
3,8009,200
Median 7,900Middle half 7,528 – 8,141Above today's price 59%
What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?
7,658median
5,5008,500
Median 7,658Middle half 7,095 – 8,152Above today's price 44%
Will the S&P finish positive this year? (2026)
92%chance
Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026
71%S&P 500
- S&P 50071%
- Bitcoin21%
- Gold8%▼ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.