Install
S&P 500 Daily Up/Down (Oct 13, 2026)
The odds
49%chance
S&P 500 now 7,807.24 −0.06% How the odds have moved
Yes: 40% on Oct 13, 49% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.
More on this question
All indexes › 7,797median
7,4258,175
Median 7,797Middle half 7,758 – 7,832Above today's price 43%
S&P price range on Oct 16, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
7,773median
7,3758,125
Median 7,773Middle half 7,596 – 7,950Above today's price 48%
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
8,036high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 8,036 and as low as 7,341.
- Reaches 8,00052%
- Reaches 8,20041%
- Reaches 8,6008%
- Reaches 9,0005%
- Falls to 7,40060%
- Falls to 7,20026%
- Falls to 7,00021%
- Falls to 6,2009%
Already reached: ↑ $7,800, ↑ $7,600, ↑ $7,400, ↓ $6,600, ↓ $6,400
S&P close price end of 2026?
7,900median
3,8009,200
Median 7,900Middle half 7,528 – 8,141Above today's price 59%
What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?
7,673median
5,5008,500
Median 7,673Middle half 7,116 – 8,156Above today's price 44%
Will the S&P finish positive this year? (2026)
92%chance
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.