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United Airlines (UAL) Q3 total revenue per available seat mile (cents)?
The odds
24%20.5¢ to 21¢
- 20.5¢ to 21¢24%▲ 12
- 20¢ to 20.5¢20%▼ 6
- <19.5¢19%
- 19.5¢ to 20¢18%▼ 1
- 21¢+18%▲ 6
How the odds have moved
20.5¢ to 21¢: 18% on Oct 13, 24% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5¢ to 21¢ | 24% | ▲ 12 | 3¢ | 50¢ | |
| 20¢ to 20.5¢ | 20% | ▼ 6 | 3¢ | 40¢ | $120 |
| <19.5¢ | 19% | 3¢ | 39¢ | $62.00 | |
| 19.5¢ to 20¢ | 18% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 37¢ | |
| 21¢+ | 18% | ▲ 6 | 2¢ | 37¢ |
Related markets
All stocks & companies › 84.22%median
81%86%
Median 84.22%Middle half 82.45% – 84.95%
United Airlines passengers in Q3 (passengers in Q3 2026)
50.27Mmedian
47.50M52.50M
Median 50.27MMiddle half 49.71M – 50.64M
Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?
31%chance▲ 1
Largest Company end of December 2026?
80%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA80%▼ 6
- Apple18%▲ 3
- Alphabet2%
- Microsoft<1%
4 more
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
$2.42Thigh with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.42T.
- Reaches $1.5T93%
- Reaches $1.75T82%
- Reaches $2T69%
- Reaches $2.5T47%
- Falls to $800B3%
- Falls to $700B3%
- Falls to $600B2%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
Anthropic IPO by __?
Nov 28, 2026even chance by
- October 15, 2026<1%
- October 31, 2026<1%
- November 15, 20266%▲ 2
- November 30, 202659%▲ 5
2 more
- December 15, 202666%▲ 5
- December 31, 202666%▼ 7
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.