October Unemployment Rate

Polymarket Closes Nov 6 · $6.5K traded · prices read 62 min ago

The odds

4.19%median
3.75%4.65%
Median 4.19%Middle half 4.1% – 4.26%

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Traded
≤3.8% <1% ▼ 1 0¢ 0¢ $301
3.9% 1% 0¢ 2¢ $280
4.0% 9% 9¢ 11¢ $610
4.1% 27% 28¢ 29¢ $2.2K
4.2% 35% 36¢ 37¢ $878
4.3% 21% ▼ 3 20¢ 24¢ $940
4.4% 5% ▲ 1 2¢ 8¢ $805
4.5% 1% 0¢ 2¢ $275
≥4.6% 1% 0¢ 2¢ $265

The same question on Kalshi

Shown side by side, not averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The same question on Kalshi

Shown side by side, not averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

More on this question

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.