How many jobs added in October?

Polymarket Closes Nov 6 · $21.1K traded · prices read 2 min ago

The odds

68Kmedian
-50K125K
Median 68KMiddle half 29K – 105K

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Traded
<-25k 4% 1¢ 7¢ $1.5K
-25k to 0 3% 1¢ 5¢ $2.1K
0 to 25k 16% ▼ 1 14¢ 16¢ $1.8K
25k to 50k 13% 12¢ 13¢ $1.6K
50k to 75k 19% ▼ 1 18¢ 19¢ $1.5K
75k to 100k 13% 10¢ 16¢ $547
100k+ 32% ▲ 1 30¢ 31¢ $12.1K

The same question on Kalshi

Shown side by side, not averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

More on this question

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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