Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
76%No change
- No change76%▼ 8
- 25 bps increase24%▲ 8
- 50+ bps increase<1%
- 25 bps decrease<1%
1 more
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
Install
Central Bank of Colombia decision in October
The odds
64%No change
- No change64%▼ 1
- 25 bps increase30%
- 50+ bps increase5%▲ 1
- 25 bps decrease1%
- 50+ bps decrease1%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change | 64% | ▼ 1 | 65¢ | 67¢ | $20.1K |
| 25 bps increase | 30% | 30¢ | 31¢ | $4.0K | |
| 50+ bps increase | 5% | ▲ 1 | 3¢ | 7¢ | $7.8K |
| 25 bps decrease | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | $2.7K | |
| 50+ bps decrease | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $1.3K |
More on this question
All central banks & rates ›Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?
53%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase53%▼ 2
- No change44%▲ 4
- 50+ bps increase3%▼ 2
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
1 more
- 25 bps decrease<1%
Central Bank of Chile decision in October
88%No change
- No change88%▲ 3
- 25 bps decrease4%▼ 1
- 25 bps increase3%▼ 1
- 50+ bps increase2%
1 more
- 50+ bps decrease2%▼ 1
Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in November (Nov 2, 2026 meeting)
73%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate73%▼ 10
- Hike 1-25bps25%▲ 9
- Cut 1-25bps1%
- Cut more than 25bps1%
1 more
- Hike more than 25bps1%
Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in November (Nov 4, 2026 meeting)
87%Cut 1-25bps
- Cut 1-25bps87%▼ 1
- Maintain current rate9%
- Cut more than 25bps2%
- Hike more than 25bps1%
1 more
- Hike 1-25bps1%
Bank of Russia rate decision in October (Oct 23, 2026 meeting)
82%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate82%
- Cut 1-25bps15%▲ 11
- Hike 1-25bps1%
- Cut more than 25bps1%▲ 1
1 more
- Hike more than 25bps1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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