Philippines rate decision in October (Oct 22, 2026 meeting)
73%Hike 1-25bps
- Hike 1-25bps73%▲ 9
- Maintain current rate25%▼ 18
- Hike more than 25bps2%
- Cut more than 25bps1%▼ 1
1 more
- Cut 1-25bps1%▼ 1
Install
Bank of Russia rate decision in October (Oct 23, 2026 meeting)
The odds
82%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate82%▲ 1
- Cut 1-25bps15%
- Hike 1-25bps1%
- Cut more than 25bps1%▲ 1
- Hike more than 25bps1%
How the odds have moved
Maintain current rate: 82% on Oct 13, 82% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maintain current rate | 82% | ▲ 1 | 88¢ | 92¢ | 2.1K |
| Cut 1-25bps | 15% | 1¢ | 13¢ | 249 | |
| Hike 1-25bps | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | 220 | |
| Cut more than 25bps | 1% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 266 | |
| Hike more than 25bps | 1% | 2¢ | 374 |
More on this question
All central banks & rates ›Bank of Korea rate decision in October (Oct 21, 2026 meeting)
95%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate95%▲ 3
- Hike 1-25bps4%▼ 4
- Cut more than 25bps1%▼ 2
- Cut 1-25bps1%▼ 2
1 more
- Hike more than 25bps1%▼ 2
Bank of Israel rate decision in October (Oct 21, 2026 meeting)
88%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate88%▲ 4
- Cut 1-25bps8%▼ 2
- Hike 1-25bps2%▼ 2
- Cut more than 25bps1%
1 more
- Hike more than 25bps1%▼ 3
Bank Indonesia rate decision in October (Oct 21, 2026 meeting)
52%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate52%▼ 1
- Hike 1-25bps44%▼ 1
- Hike more than 25bps3%
- Cut more than 25bps<1%▼ 3
1 more
- Cut 1-25bps<1%▼ 3
Hungary rate decision in October (Oct 20, 2026 meeting)
87%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate87%▲ 1
- Cut 1-25bps11%
- Hike 1-25bps1%
- Cut more than 25bps1%▼ 3
1 more
- Hike more than 25bps<1%
Central Bank of Chile decision in October
88%No change
- No change88%▲ 2
- 25 bps decrease5%▲ 1
- 25 bps increase4%▼ 1
- 50+ bps decrease2%▼ 1
1 more
- 50+ bps increase2%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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