Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
74%No change
- No change74%▼ 1
- 25 bps increase25%▲ 4
- 50+ bps increase<1%
- 25 bps decrease<1%
1 more
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
Install
Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in November (Nov 2, 2026 meeting)
The odds
72%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate72%▼ 12
- Hike 1-25bps26%▲ 9
- Cut 1-25bps1%
- Cut more than 25bps1%
- Hike more than 25bps1%
How the odds have moved
Maintain current rate: 73% on Oct 13, 72% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maintain current rate | 72% | ▼ 12 | 69¢ | 74¢ | 9.3K |
| Hike 1-25bps | 26% | ▲ 9 | 22¢ | 29¢ | 4.2K |
| Cut 1-25bps | 1% | 2¢ | 4.8K | ||
| Cut more than 25bps | 1% | 1¢ | 1.9K | ||
| Hike more than 25bps | 1% | 1¢ | 3.4K |
More on this question
All central banks & rates ›Sweden rate decision in November (Nov 4, 2026 meeting)
63%Hike 1-25bps
- Hike 1-25bps63%
- Maintain current rate33%
- Hike more than 25bps2%
- Cut more than 25bps1%
1 more
- Cut 1-25bps1%▼ 1
Poland rate decision in November (Nov 4, 2026 meeting)
83%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate83%▲ 14
- Hike 1-25bps14%▼ 3
- Cut 1-25bps1%▲ 1
- Cut more than 25bps1%
1 more
- Hike more than 25bps1%
Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in November (Nov 4, 2026 meeting)
87%Cut 1-25bps
- Cut 1-25bps87%▼ 1
- Maintain current rate9%
- Cut more than 25bps2%
- Hike more than 25bps1%
1 more
- Hike 1-25bps1%
Norway rate decision in November (Nov 5, 2026 meeting)
83%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate83%
- Hike 1-25bps13%▲ 1
- Hike more than 25bps2%▲ 2
- Cut 1-25bps1%
1 more
- Cut more than 25bps<1%
Czech National Bank rate decision in November (Nov 5, 2026 meeting)
79%Hike 1-25bps
- Hike 1-25bps79%
- Maintain current rate19%
- Cut 1-25bps1%
- Hike more than 25bps1%
1 more
- Cut more than 25bps<1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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