2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 16, 2026?
4.77%median
4.6%4.9%
Median 4.77%Middle half 4.71% – 4.84%
Install
7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 16, 2026?
The odds
5.09%median
4.93%5.31%
Median 5.09%Middle half 5.02% – 5.18%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.96% or above | 90% | ▼ 5 | 85¢ | 94¢ | 405 |
| 4.98% or above | 87% | ▼ 7 | 84¢ | 89¢ | 400 |
| 5% or above | 85% | ▼ 3 | 80¢ | 89¢ | 461 |
| 5.02% or above | 77% | 74¢ | 80¢ | ||
| 5.04% or above | 71% | ▼ 10 | 68¢ | 74¢ | 101 |
| 5.06% or above | 65% | 61¢ | 68¢ | ||
| 5.08% or above | 56% | 52¢ | 60¢ | ||
| 5.1% or above | 50% | 46¢ | 53¢ | ||
| 5.12% or above | 44% | 39¢ | 49¢ | ||
| 5.16% or above | 35% | 25¢ | 37¢ | 1.00 | |
| 5.24% or above | 11% | ▼ 10 | 6¢ | 15¢ | 565 |
More on this question
All central banks & rates ›2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 13, 2026?
4.77%median
4.63%4.95%
Median 4.77%Middle half 4.74% – 4.8%
7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 13, 2026?
5.08%median
4.98%5.3%
Median 5.08%Middle half 5.04% – 5.14%
How low will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?
5.06%median
4.85%5.12%
Median 5.06%Middle half 4.97% – 5.09%
How low will the 2-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?
4.71%median
4.62%4.76%
Median 4.71%
How high will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?
5.21%median
5.18%5.45%
Median 5.21%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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