How low will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?

Kalshi Closes Oct 30 · 25.1K contracts · prices read 88 min ago

The odds

5.06%median

4.85%5.12%

Median 5.06%Middle half 4.97% – 5.09%

Not enough history yet.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Contracts
4.85% or below	89%		64¢		300
4.86% or below	86%		62¢		301
4.87% or below	86%		58¢		300
4.88% or below	85%		56¢		301
4.89% or below	85%		54¢		300
4.9% or below	85%		52¢		175
4.91% or below	85%		50¢		171
4.92% or below	83%		48¢		180
4.93% or below	82%		46¢		167
4.94% or below	82%	▲ 3	44¢		356
4.95% or below	79%	▲ 2	42¢		213
4.96% or below	74%		42¢		498
4.97% or below	73%		41¢		303
4.98% or below	72%		40¢		304
4.99% or below	71%	▲ 3	38¢		392
5% or below	71%	▲ 8	37¢		245
5.01% or below	71%		37¢		471
5.02% or below	71%	▲ 2	34¢		425
5.03% or below	71%		32¢		302
5.04% or below	53%		24¢		301
5.05% or below	50%		12¢		497
5.06% or below	41%		9¢		758
5.07% or below	27%			22¢	304
5.08% or below	27%			19¢	1.2K
5.09% or below	6%			14¢	1.2K
5.1% or below	5%	▼ 3		10¢	857
✓ 5.11% or below	14%				5.9K
✓ 5.12% or below	1%				1.3K
✓ 5.13% or below	1%				2.2K
✓ 5.14% or below	1%				5.0K