7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 16, 2026?
5.09%median
4.93%5.31%
Median 5.09%Middle half 5.02% – 5.18%
Install
2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 16, 2026?
The odds
4.77%median
4.6%4.9%
Median 4.77%Middle half 4.71% – 4.84%
How the odds have moved
Median: 4.77% on Oct 13, 4.77% now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.63% or above | 93% | ▼ 6 | 85¢ | 95¢ | 300 |
| 4.65% or above | 93% | 79¢ | 93¢ | 217 | |
| 4.75% or above | 68% | ▲ 4 | 53¢ | 64¢ | 17.00 |
| 4.77% or above | 53% | ▼ 5 | 48¢ | 58¢ | 1.00 |
| 4.79% or above | 46% | ▼ 4 | 42¢ | 50¢ | |
| 4.81% or above | 38% | 34¢ | 42¢ | ||
| 4.83% or above | 31% | 28¢ | 33¢ | ||
| 4.85% or above | 25% | 22¢ | 27¢ | ||
| 4.87% or above | 21% | ▲ 2 | 16¢ | 25¢ | 388 |
| 4.89% or above | 14% | ▲ 1 | 9¢ | 18¢ | 559 |
More on this question
All central banks & rates ›2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 13, 2026?
4.77%median
4.63%4.95%
Median 4.77%Middle half 4.74% – 4.8%
7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 13, 2026?
5.08%median
4.98%5.3%
Median 5.08%Middle half 5.04% – 5.14%
How low will the 2-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?
4.71%median
4.62%4.76%
Median 4.71%
How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October?
4.93%median
4.83%5.35%
Median 4.93%Middle half 4.86% – 5.09%
How low will 2-year Treasury yield get in October?
38%Below 4.40%
4.35%4.76%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.