Boeing commercial deliveries in Q3 (commercial deliveries in Q3 2026)
160.2median
150194
Median 160.2Middle half 159.4 – 161.5
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Which companies will the US take a stake in this year? (Before Jan 1, 2027)
The odds
42%Unusual Machines
- Unusual Machines42%▲ 1
- Anduril20%▼ 7
- Neros Technologies18%▼ 2
- Performance Drone Works14%▼ 1
- Anthropic11%▲ 1
- OpenAI11%▼ 1
- TSMC10%▼ 1
- IonQ10%
- Palantir9%▼ 1
- Micron9%▲ 1
- Eli Lilly9%▼ 2
- Boeing8%▼ 1
6 more
- Lockheed Martin8%▼ 2
- Nvidia7%▼ 2
- Freeport-McMoRan7%▼ 1
- Pfizer7%
- TikTok US6%▼ 1
- Spirit Airlines3%
How the odds have moved
Unusual Machines: 42% on Oct 13, 42% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Rigetti Computing | 97% | 60.0K | |||
| ✓ D-Wave Quantum | 97% | 46.7K | |||
| ✓ GlobalFoundries | 94% | 41.2K | |||
| Unusual Machines | 42% | ▲ 1 | 40¢ | 43¢ | 8.2K |
| Anduril | 20% | ▼ 7 | 18¢ | 22¢ | 196.1K |
| Neros Technologies | 18% | ▼ 2 | 14¢ | 21¢ | 9.0K |
| Performance Drone Works | 14% | ▼ 1 | 12¢ | 15¢ | 7.3K |
| Anthropic | 11% | ▲ 1 | 10¢ | 12¢ | 98.9K |
| OpenAI | 11% | ▼ 1 | 9¢ | 12¢ | 94.1K |
| TSMC | 10% | ▼ 1 | 8¢ | 12¢ | 28.9K |
| IonQ | 10% | 9¢ | 11¢ | 31.5K | |
| Palantir | 9% | ▼ 1 | 7¢ | 10¢ | 83.0K |
| Micron | 9% | ▲ 1 | 7¢ | 10¢ | 29.4K |
| Eli Lilly | 9% | ▼ 2 | 8¢ | 9¢ | 14.2K |
| Boeing | 8% | ▼ 1 | 7¢ | 9¢ | 29.3K |
| Lockheed Martin | 8% | ▼ 2 | 6¢ | 9¢ | 59.7K |
| Nvidia | 7% | ▼ 2 | 6¢ | 8¢ | 59.3K |
| Freeport-McMoRan | 7% | ▼ 1 | 6¢ | 8¢ | 9.4K |
| Pfizer | 7% | 6¢ | 8¢ | 11.3K | |
| TikTok US | 6% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | 7¢ | 10.6K |
| Spirit Airlines | 3% | 2¢ | 4¢ | 308.8K |
Related markets
All stocks & companies ›Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
642.6median
540720
Median 642.6Middle half 622.9 – 656.9
Which companies will the US take a stake in?
9%Boeing
- Unusual Machines45%▲ 4
- Anduril21%▼ 3
- OpenAI16%▲ 2
- Boeing9%
13 more
- TSMC13%▲ 1
- Anthropic12%▼ 1
- Nvidia11%▼ 2
- Lockheed Martin11%▲ 1
- IonQ11%▼ 1
- Micron9%▲ 1
- Eli Lilly8%▲ 1
- Freeport-McMoRan8%
- SpaceX8%
- Pfizer4%
- Palantir4%
- TikTok US / Bytedance4%
- Samsung Electronics4%
Largest Company end of December 2026?
76%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA76%▼ 8
- Apple22%▲ 8
- Alphabet2%
- Microsoft<1%
4 more
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
$2.42Thigh with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.42T.
- Reaches $1.5T93%
- Reaches $1.75T82%
- Reaches $2T69%
- Reaches $2.5T47%
- Falls to $800B3%
- Falls to $700B3%
- Falls to $600B2%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
Anthropic IPO by __?
Nov 30, 2026even chance by
- October 15, 2026<1%
- October 31, 2026<1%
- November 15, 20266%▲ 2
- November 30, 202653%▼ 2
2 more
- December 15, 202665%▲ 3
- December 31, 202670%▼ 3
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.