Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
642.6median
540720
Median 642.6Middle half 622.9 – 656.9
Install
Boeing commercial deliveries in Q3 (commercial deliveries in Q3 2026)
The odds
160.4median
150194
Median 160.4Middle half 159.5 – 161.7
How the odds have moved
Median: 160.2 on Oct 13, 160.4 now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 152 | 99% | 98¢ | 99¢ | 17.1K | |
| Above 154 | 98% | ▲ 1 | 97¢ | 99¢ | 7.9K |
| Above 156 | 98% | ▲ 2 | 97¢ | 99¢ | 4.7K |
| Above 158 | 91% | ▲ 1 | 87¢ | 92¢ | 12.7K |
| Above 159 | 91% | ▲ 4 | 88¢ | 95¢ | 1.9K |
| Above 160 | 56% | ▲ 4 | 55¢ | 58¢ | 11.9K |
| Above 161 | 41% | ▲ 9 | 38¢ | 44¢ | 5.1K |
| Above 162 | 19% | ▲ 2 | 17¢ | 21¢ | 5.8K |
| Above 163 | 10% | ▼ 1 | 8¢ | 11¢ | 3.3K |
| Above 164 | 5% | 4¢ | 5¢ | 8.8K | |
| Above 166 | 2% | ▼ 2 | 1¢ | 3¢ | 5.5K |
| Above 168 | 2% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 3¢ | 16.0K |
| Above 170 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | 13.6K | |
| Above 172 | 2% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 4¢ | 6.7K |
| Above 174 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | 13.6K | |
| Above 176 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | 8.5K | |
| Above 178 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | 6.9K | |
| Above 180 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | 2.6K | |
| Above 182 | 1% | 1¢ | 5.4K | ||
| Above 184 | 1% | 1¢ | 12.2K | ||
| Above 186 | 1% | 1¢ | 8.5K | ||
| Above 188 | 1% | 1¢ | 20.0K | ||
| Above 190 | 1% | 1¢ | 12.6K | ||
| Above 192 | 1% | 1¢ | 19.0K |
Related markets
All stocks & companies ›Which companies will the US take a stake in?
10%Boeing▲ 1
- Unusual Machines42%▼ 22
- Anduril20%▼ 4
- OpenAI14%
- Boeing10%▲ 1
13 more
- TSMC12%▼ 1
- Anthropic12%▼ 3
- Nvidia10%▼ 3
- Lockheed Martin10%
- IonQ10%
- Micron9%
- SpaceX8%▲ 1
- Freeport-McMoRan8%
- Eli Lilly8%
- Pfizer5%▼ 1
- Palantir4%
- TikTok US / Bytedance4%▼ 1
- Samsung Electronics4%
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year? (Before Jan 1, 2027)
8%Boeing▼ 1
- Unusual Machines42%▲ 2
- Neros Technologies20%▼ 1
- Anduril19%▼ 9
- Boeing8%▼ 1
14 more
- Performance Drone Works14%▼ 1
- OpenAI13%▲ 1
- Anthropic10%▼ 1
- TSMC10%▼ 2
- IonQ10%▼ 1
- Palantir9%▼ 1
- Micron9%▲ 1
- Eli Lilly9%▼ 2
- Freeport-McMoRan8%▼ 1
- Nvidia7%▼ 2
- Lockheed Martin7%▼ 2
- Pfizer7%
- TikTok US6%▼ 1
- Spirit Airlines3%
Largest Company end of December 2026?
77%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA77%▼ 8
- Apple21%▲ 7
- Alphabet2%
- Microsoft<1%
4 more
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
$2.42Thigh with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.42T.
- Reaches $1.5T93%
- Reaches $1.75T82%
- Reaches $2T69%
- Reaches $2.5T47%
- Falls to $800B3%
- Falls to $700B3%
- Falls to $600B2%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
Anthropic IPO by __?
Nov 30, 2026even chance by
- October 15, 2026<1%
- October 31, 2026<1%
- November 15, 20266%▲ 2
- November 30, 202653%▼ 2
2 more
- December 15, 202662%
- December 31, 202670%▼ 4
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.