Jobs numbers in October 2026?
54Kmedian
-50K150K
Median 54KMiddle half 20K – 104K
Install
Will Hawaii visitor spending increase YoY in 2026?
The odds
82%chance▼ 7
How the odds have moved
Yes: 82% on Oct 14, 82% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.
Related markets
All inflation & jobs ›Jobs numbers in Nov 2026?
70Kmedian
-50K150K
Median 70KMiddle half 22K – 112K
Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
84,522median
79,00093,000
Median 84,522Middle half 83,893 – 85,219
Washington professional, scientific, and technical services employment at end of 2026
257,969median
230,000285,000
Median 257,969Middle half 255,365 – 261,196
Port of Savannah container volume in 2026
5.78median
5.206.20
Median 5.78Middle half 5.66 – 5.90
Visitors to Florida in 2026
141.4median
134150
Median 141.4Middle half 140.2 – 143.0
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.