Merced, CA 95340 Weather

Merced County3:27 PM PDT37.30°N, 120.46°W

Current conditions

Rain
63°
Rain
Feels like 63°
High 69°·Low 53°
WindSSE 10 mph
Humidity72%
Dew point54°
Pressure29.91 inHg
Visibility2.0 mi
Cloud cover97%
UV index2 Low
Sunrise7:16 AM
Sunset6:18 PM

Observed at Merced Regional Airport · 1 hr ago

Forecast

10-day

  • This Afternoon

    Showers and thunderstorms likely before 5pm, then rain likely. Cloudy. High near 69, with temperatures falling to around 65 in the afternoon. East southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

  • Tonight

    Rain likely before 11pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely between 11pm and 5am, then a chance of rain. Mostly cloudy. Low around 53, with temperatures rising to around 56 overnight. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

  • Thursday

    A chance of rain before 11am, then showers and thunderstorms likely between 11am and 5pm, then rain likely. Mostly cloudy. High near 69, with temperatures falling to around 66 in the afternoon. South southeast wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

National Weather Service forecast updated 1 hr ago.

Hourly

Hourly forecast
  1. Now Showers And Thunderstorms Likely 65°72%
  2. 4 PM Showers And Thunderstorms Likely 65°72%
  3. 5 PM Light Rain Likely 65°66%
  4. 6 PM Light Rain Likely 65°66%
  5. 7 PM Light Rain Likely 64°66%
  6. 8 PM Light Rain Likely 63°66%
  7. 9 PM Light Rain Likely 62°66%
  8. 10 PM Light Rain Likely 61°66%
  9. 11 PM Showers And Thunderstorms Likely 60°70%
  10. Thu12 AM Showers And Thunderstorms Likely 60°70%
  11. 1 AM Showers And Thunderstorms Likely 59°70%
  12. 2 AM Showers And Thunderstorms Likely 59°70%
  13. 3 AM Showers And Thunderstorms Likely 58°70%
  14. 4 AM Showers And Thunderstorms Likely 57°70%
  15. 5 AM Chance Light Rain 56°51%
  16. 6 AM Chance Light Rain 55°51%
  17. 7 AM Chance Light Rain 54°51%
  18. 8 AM Chance Light Rain 57°51%
  19. 9 AM Chance Light Rain 59°51%
  20. 10 AM Chance Light Rain 61°51%
  21. 11 AM Showers And Thunderstorms Likely 63°68%
  22. 12 PM Showers And Thunderstorms Likely 66°68%
  23. 1 PM Showers And Thunderstorms Likely 67°68%
  24. 2 PM Showers And Thunderstorms Likely 68°68%

Daily forecast

Details
  1. TodayOct 21 Showers And Thunderstorms Likely Showers And Thunderstorms Likely72%53°69°
  2. ThuOct 22 Showers And Thunderstorms Likely Showers And Thunderstorms Likely68%53°69°
  3. FriOct 23 Mostly Sunny Mostly Sunny48°70°
  4. SatOct 24 Sunny Sunny49°74°
  5. SunOct 25 Sunny Sunny49°77°
  6. MonOct 26 Sunny Sunny48°76°
  7. TueOct 27 Mostly Sunny Mostly Sunny47°73°
  8. WedOct 28 Cloudy Cloudy48°72°
  9. ThuOct 29 Cloudy Cloudy50°77°

Days after the National Weather Service's seven are MET Norway's outlook, a computer model with no forecaster's review.

Radar

Full map
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Weather news near Merced

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Air quality

65
Moderate
Coarse particles (PM10)

Acceptable. Unusually sensitive people should consider limiting prolonged outdoor exertion.

Forecast

  • WedGood (42)
  • ThuGood (50)

Merced, CA reporting area · 1 hr ago. Data from AirNow (EPA and its state, local and tribal partners); preliminary and subject to change.

Sun & moon

Sunrise 7:16 AM
Sunset 6:18 PM
Daylight 11 h 2 min (−2 min 14 s tomorrow)
Waxing Gibbous · 80% lit
Moonrise 3:53 PM Moonset 2:31 AM
Full moon Oct 26 New moon Nov 9

Almanac

Monthly
Normal high / low78° / 48°
Record high94° (2003)
Record low29° (1996)
Wettest0.60 in (1985)
Month to date0.00 in (normal 0.32 in)

Merced Area, records since 1899. Normals 1991–2020. Data from NOAA's Regional Climate Centers (ACIS).

Nearby

Forecasters' discussion

From the National Weather Service office in HNX, issued 4 hrs ago

Discussion

Time for your favorite part of the day, reading the Area Forecast Discussion (we got some action AND humor)! Some isolated thunderstorms have developed in Fresno County and along the Sierra Nevada Foothills (boom boom crash). Precipitation is currently spreading over the forecast area this morning and continuing into Thursday. Isolated cells have been producing strong updrafts and energy to possibly produce pea sized hail. The bulk of the precipitation will occur Wednesday afternoon until Thursday. Many locations can expect a total of one quarter to one half inch in the San Joaquin Valley, while there is near 60 percent chance of exceeding a half inch. That is a good amount of H2O from the sky for this region! The Flood Watch remains in effect for much of Kern County and the higher terrain along the west side of the San Joaquin Valley up to southwestern Fresno County near Coalinga. Higher amounts of precipitation are likely to occur over the Sierra Nevada from the foothills to about 8,000 feet. While some nuisance flooding is also a possibility in these areas, we anticipate less runoff except near burn scars. We are still looking at a good chance for at least a few inches of snow above 8,000 feet in the Sierra Nevada. We will continue the Winter Weather Advisory for these areas from Wednesday morning to Thursday morning. As cells continue to develop and move Southerly, isolated thunderstorms are possible in Kern County and into the mountains. As such, keep on the lookout for Special Weather Statements and advisories that are put out!

For Friday through next Tuesday, we are looking at continued cooler temperatures and mainly dry conditions. Although temperatures will warm up by several degrees for the weekend until Monday, we are projecting highs mainly in the 70s for the warmest locations. There is a slight chance of precipitation for the middle of next week, but with much uncertainty at this time.

Aviation

Isolated thunderstorms have been occurring since 17Z this morning near Fresno and along the Sierra Foothills. With mountain obscurations and visibilities creeping into the 5-6SM range, MVFR conditions in place with showers and isolated thunderstorms through at least today. Winds mainly up to 10 kts at the TAF sites, mainly from the east. Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail for the next 24 hours.

Air Quality Issues

None.

Certainty

The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high. The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is medium.

Certainty levels include low...medium...and high. Please visit www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.html for additional information and/or to provide feedback.

Forecasts, observations and alerts in the United States come from the National Weather Service (NOAA); radar from NOAA's Multi-Radar Multi-Sensor system; satellite imagery from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS) and NOAA's GOES satellites; the map from the U.S. Geological Survey's National Map; air quality from AirNow (EPA and its partners); hurricane information from the National Hurricane Center; climate normals and records from NOAA's Regional Climate Centers (ACIS). Forecasts outside the United States and the UV index: MET Norway (CC BY 4.0); observations outside the U.S.: airport reports via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center. Place names: GeoNames (CC BY 4.0). Data are copied on a schedule and may lag the sources; for warnings that affect your safety, follow your local National Weather Service office and emergency officials. Weather news is drawn from the 4Conservative index and reflects what the press published. Terms of use.