Surprise, AZ 85379 Weather

Maricopa County4:11 PM MST33.60°N, 112.37°W

Current conditions

Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
79°
Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Feels like 79°
High 87°·Low 60°
WindSSW 10 mph gusts 20 mph
Humidity58%
Dew point63°
Visibility10 mi
Cloud cover53%
UV index1 Low
Sunrise6:40 AM
Sunset5:49 PM

Forecast for this hour (no station report in the last two hours)

Forecast

10-day
  • This Afternoon

    A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 5pm. Mostly sunny. High near 87, with temperatures falling to around 76 in the afternoon. South southwest wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

  • Tonight

    Mostly clear, with a low around 60. West wind 0 to 10 mph.

  • Friday

    Sunny. High near 77, with temperatures falling to around 75 in the afternoon. West northwest wind 0 to 5 mph.

National Weather Service forecast updated 1 hr ago.

  1. Now Chance Showers And Thunderstorms 79°19%
  2. 5 PM Mostly Sunny 76°
  3. 6 PM Mostly Clear 74°
  4. 7 PM Partly Cloudy 72°
  5. 8 PM Partly Cloudy 71°
  6. 9 PM Mostly Clear 70°
  7. 10 PM Mostly Clear 68°
  8. 11 PM Mostly Clear 67°
  9. Fri12 AM Clear 65°
  10. 1 AM Clear 64°
  11. 2 AM Mostly Clear 63°
  12. 3 AM Clear 62°
  13. 4 AM Mostly Clear 61°
  14. 5 AM Mostly Clear 61°
  15. 6 AM Sunny 60°
  16. 7 AM Sunny 61°
  17. 8 AM Sunny 63°
  18. 9 AM Sunny 67°
  19. 10 AM Sunny 70°
  20. 11 AM Sunny 72°
  21. 12 PM Sunny 73°
  22. 1 PM Sunny 75°
  23. 2 PM Sunny 75°
  24. 3 PM Sunny 75°

Daily forecast

Details
  1. TodayOct 22 Chance Showers And Thunderstorms Chance Showers And Thunderstorms19%60°87°
  2. FriOct 23 Sunny Sunny58°77°
  3. SatOct 24 Sunny Sunny59°77°
  4. SunOct 25 Sunny Sunny60°79°
  5. MonOct 26 Sunny Sunny61°82°
  6. TueOct 27 Sunny Sunny63°83°
  7. WedOct 28 Mostly Sunny Mostly Sunny63°83°
  8. ThuOct 29 Cloudy Cloudy58°83°
  9. FriOct 30 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny60°84°

Days after the National Weather Service's seven are MET Norway's outlook, a computer model with no forecaster's review.

Radar

Full map
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Weather news near Surprise

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Air quality

57
Moderate
Fine particles (PM2.5)

Acceptable. Unusually sensitive people should consider limiting prolonged outdoor exertion.

Forecast

  • ThuGood (33)
  • FriGood (42)
  • SatModerate (51)

Phoenix, AZ reporting area · 1 hr ago. Data from AirNow (EPA and its state, local and tribal partners); preliminary and subject to change.

Sun & moon

Sunrise 6:40 AM
Sunset 5:49 PM
Daylight 11 h 8 min (−1 min 57 s tomorrow)
Waxing Gibbous · 88% lit
Moonrise 3:44 PM Moonset 3:03 AM
Full moon Oct 26 New moon Nov 9

Almanac

Monthly
Record high96° (1952)
Record low48° (1953)
Month to date0.34 in (normal 0.00 in)

Phoenix Luke Afb, records since 1951. Normals 1991–2020. Data from NOAA's Regional Climate Centers (ACIS).

Nearby

Forecasters' discussion

From the National Weather Service office in PSR, issued 5 hrs ago

Update

Updated 18Z Aviation Discussion.

Key Messages

- A strong low pressure system will support additional thunderstorms, some of which may be strong to severe, through this afternoon and focused more north and east of the Phoenix area.

- Thunderstorms will also be capable of producing moderate to heavy rainfall which may result in areas of flash flooding across south-central Arizona with a focus over higher terrain areas.

- Drier air will quickly move in tonight into Friday leading to more benign weather conditions into the weekend and through at least early next week.

- Below normal temperatures are forecast through the weekend before warming back into the normal range early next week.

Aviation

Updated at 1803Z.

South Central Arizona including KPHX, KIWA, KSDL, and KDVT:

The main aviation concern through through early this afternoon will lower CIGs around 5-6 kft. These lower CIGs will gradually lift and scatter out through the afternoon and evening with skies becoming clear overnight. VCSH remain only in the KSDL TAF through 19Z as showers remain to the NE of the terminal. Otherwise dry conditions are expected as the shower and storm threat for today has shifted to the higher terrain to the east of the Phoenix Metro. Winds will predominately exhibit a westerly component through the evening with some occasional gusts up around 20 kt expected from the late afternoon through the early evening. Winds will then go back SE'rly overnight.

Southeast California/Southwest Arizona including KIPL and KBLH: No major aviation weather concerns are anticipated through the forecast period. Winds will favor a southwesterly to westerly component at KBLH and westerly at KIPL. Gusts up to 25 kts will become common at both terminals through mid (KBLH) to late (KIPL) this evening. FEW to SCT clouds, mostly aoa 7 kft, will continue into the evening before becoming mostly clear overnight.

Fire Weather

Strong to severe thunderstorms with heavy rainfall will remain possible over eastern districts through this afternoon before rapid drying spreads through the area this evening and tonight. The heaviest rainfall will be focused more across higher terrain areas north and east of Phoenix. MinRHs today will again be in a 30-60% range before dropping more into a 25-40% range for Friday and Saturday as cooler air settles into the region. Gusty west winds upwards of 25-30 mph will be possible across the western districts through this evening with winds becoming light starting tonight. Overall quiet weather conditions are forecast for this weekend into next week with fairly stable humidities and temperatures rebounding back into the normal range early next week.

Forecasts, observations and alerts in the United States come from the National Weather Service (NOAA); radar from NOAA's Multi-Radar Multi-Sensor system; satellite imagery from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS) and NOAA's GOES satellites; the map from the U.S. Geological Survey's National Map; air quality from AirNow (EPA and its partners); hurricane information from the National Hurricane Center; climate normals and records from NOAA's Regional Climate Centers (ACIS). Forecasts outside the United States and the UV index: MET Norway (CC BY 4.0); observations outside the U.S.: airport reports via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center. Place names: GeoNames (CC BY 4.0). Data are copied on a schedule and may lag the sources; for warnings that affect your safety, follow your local National Weather Service office and emergency officials. Weather news is drawn from the 4Conservative index and reflects what the press published. Terms of use.