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Surprise, AZ 85378 Weather
Current conditions
Forecast for this hour (no station report in the last two hours)
Forecast
10-day-
Today
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2pm and 4pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 4pm and 5pm. Mostly sunny. High near 81, with temperatures falling to around 76 in the afternoon. South southwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
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Tonight
Mostly clear, with a low around 61. Northwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
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Friday
Sunny. High near 77, with temperatures falling to around 75 in the afternoon. South wind 0 to 5 mph.
National Weather Service forecast updated 7 hrs ago.
Hourly
Hourly forecast- Now79°17%
- 3 PM79°22%
- 4 PM80°22%
- 5 PM77°
- 6 PM76°
- 7 PM74°
- 8 PM71°
- 9 PM70°
- 10 PM68°
- 11 PM67°
- Fri12 AM66°
- 1 AM64°
- 2 AM63°
- 3 AM63°
- 4 AM62°
- 5 AM61°
- 6 AM61°
- 7 AM61°
- 8 AM64°
- 9 AM67°
- 10 AM70°
- 11 AM72°
- 12 PM73°
- 1 PM75°
Daily forecast
Details- TodayOct 22Chance Showers And Thunderstorms35%61°81°
- FriOct 23Sunny59°77°
- SatOct 24Sunny59°77°
- SunOct 25Sunny60°79°
- MonOct 26Sunny61°83°
- TueOct 27Sunny63°84°
- WedOct 28Mostly Sunny12%62°83°
- ThuOct 29Cloudy57°84°
- FriOct 30Mostly sunny58°85°
Days after the National Weather Service's seven are MET Norway's outlook, a computer model with no forecaster's review.
Radar
Full mapWeather news near Surprise
More weather news-
How much rain could Phoenix get? Here’s the latest forecastPhoenix faces two First Alert Weather Days as thunderstorms bring a threat of flooding, damaging wind gusts and small hail to the Valley Wednesday and Thursday. Several rounds of storms are expected to move through the…
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Arizona weather forecast: Phoenix hits the 90s before rain and severe storm chances arrivePhoenix will hit 91 degrees before rain chances and severe storms return to Arizona mid-week. PHOENIX - Arizona is in for another week of changing weather. While high pressure whirls to the southeast, a trough and…
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Heavy rain, strong storms across Phoenix area expected later this weekWednesday and Thursday are First Alert Weather Days as several rounds of thunderstorms are forecast to move through the Valley. Heavy rain, strong storms across Phoenix area expected later this week Arizona mom accused…
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Timing rain chances across Arizona this weekAZ Family Timing rain chances across Arizona this week Heavy rain, strong storms across Phoenix area expected later this week Sunny, warm conditions in Arizona followed by rain this week Rain in forecast over the next…
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Thunderstorms with potential to produce flash flooding expected in Phoenix area this weekA major weather disturbance could bring multiple rounds of rain to the Valley on Wednesday and Thursday. The Phoenix forecast calls for thunderstorms Wednesday and Thursday. (Unsplash stock image) A major weather…
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Rain is on the way to Arizona this weekFOX 10 Phoenix FOX 10's Erica Horvatin has the details on a storm that's headed our way this week. She has where it's expected to hit and when.
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Will Phoenix get rain this week? What the forecast showsHighs reached 84 degrees Sunday, but the Valley warms back near 89 Monday and into the low 90s Tuesday. Isolated showers are possible in higher terrain near the Valley Monday. A stronger system moves in from the west…
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Why storm chances are increasing across Arizona this weekAfter a warm start to the week, Arizona is in for a noticeable weather change. Valley highs climb back into the low 90s Tuesday before rain and thunderstorm chances increase Wednesday and Thursday, bringing temperatures…
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Arizona rain chances rise as new storm system approachesFOX 10 Phoenix Arizona will see cooler temperatures and scattered rain midweek as a new storm system moves across the state. FOX 10's Erica Horvatin has more on when we can expect moisture to arrive.
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Arizona thunderstorms possible this week: Here’s whenPHOENIX (AZFamily) — Highs have reached 84 so far on Sunday, but changes are on the way this week. Lows dip into the low 70s by early Monday morning, ahead of a high around 89 Monday with isolated showers in the higher…
Air quality
Air quality is satisfactory, and air pollution poses little or no risk.
Forecast
- ThuGood (33)
- FriGood (42)
- SatModerate (51)
Phoenix, AZ reporting area · 1 hr ago. Data from AirNow (EPA and its state, local and tribal partners); preliminary and subject to change.
Sun & moon
Almanac
MonthlyPhoenix Luke Afb, records since 1951. Normals 1991–2020. Data from NOAA's Regional Climate Centers (ACIS).
Nearby
Forecasters' discussion
From the National Weather Service office in PSR, issued 3 hrs ago
Update
Updated 18Z Aviation Discussion.
Key Messages
- A strong low pressure system will support additional thunderstorms, some of which may be strong to severe, through this afternoon and focused more north and east of the Phoenix area.
- Thunderstorms will also be capable of producing moderate to heavy rainfall which may result in areas of flash flooding across south-central Arizona with a focus over higher terrain areas.
- Drier air will quickly move in tonight into Friday leading to more benign weather conditions into the weekend and through at least early next week.
- Below normal temperatures are forecast through the weekend before warming back into the normal range early next week.
Aviation
Updated at 1803Z.
South Central Arizona including KPHX, KIWA, KSDL, and KDVT:
The main aviation concern through through early this afternoon will lower CIGs around 5-6 kft. These lower CIGs will gradually lift and scatter out through the afternoon and evening with skies becoming clear overnight. VCSH remain only in the KSDL TAF through 19Z as showers remain to the NE of the terminal. Otherwise dry conditions are expected as the shower and storm threat for today has shifted to the higher terrain to the east of the Phoenix Metro. Winds will predominately exhibit a westerly component through the evening with some occasional gusts up around 20 kt expected from the late afternoon through the early evening. Winds will then go back SE'rly overnight.
Southeast California/Southwest Arizona including KIPL and KBLH: No major aviation weather concerns are anticipated through the forecast period. Winds will favor a southwesterly to westerly component at KBLH and westerly at KIPL. Gusts up to 25 kts will become common at both terminals through mid (KBLH) to late (KIPL) this evening. FEW to SCT clouds, mostly aoa 7 kft, will continue into the evening before becoming mostly clear overnight.
Fire Weather
Strong to severe thunderstorms with heavy rainfall will remain possible over eastern districts through this afternoon before rapid drying spreads through the area this evening and tonight. The heaviest rainfall will be focused more across higher terrain areas north and east of Phoenix. MinRHs today will again be in a 30-60% range before dropping more into a 25-40% range for Friday and Saturday as cooler air settles into the region. Gusty west winds upwards of 25-30 mph will be possible across the western districts through this evening with winds becoming light starting tonight. Overall quiet weather conditions are forecast for this weekend into next week with fairly stable humidities and temperatures rebounding back into the normal range early next week.
Forecasts, observations and alerts in the United States come from the National Weather Service (NOAA); radar from NOAA's Multi-Radar Multi-Sensor system; satellite imagery from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS) and NOAA's GOES satellites; the map from the U.S. Geological Survey's National Map; air quality from AirNow (EPA and its partners); hurricane information from the National Hurricane Center; climate normals and records from NOAA's Regional Climate Centers (ACIS). Forecasts outside the United States and the UV index: MET Norway (CC BY 4.0); observations outside the U.S.: airport reports via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center. Place names: GeoNames (CC BY 4.0). Data are copied on a schedule and may lag the sources; for warnings that affect your safety, follow your local National Weather Service office and emergency officials. Weather news is drawn from the 4Conservative index and reflects what the press published. Terms of use.