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Mesa, AZ 85215 Weather
Current conditions
Observed at Mesa / Falcon Field · 22 min ago
Forecast
10-day-
Today
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before noon, then showers and thunderstorms likely between noon and 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. High near 87, with temperatures falling to around 79 in the afternoon. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
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Tonight
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10pm, then showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Low around 70, with temperatures rising to around 72 overnight. Northeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
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Thursday
Showers and thunderstorms before 1pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny. High near 81, with temperatures falling to around 77 in the afternoon. South wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
National Weather Service forecast updated 1 hr ago.
Hourly
Hourly forecast- Now82°56%
- 2 PM84°43%
- 3 PM81°40%
- 4 PM80°42%
- 5 PM79°50%
- 6 PM76°53%
- 7 PM75°51%
- 8 PM75°36%
- 9 PM74°43%
- 10 PM73°56%
- 11 PM73°56%
- Thu12 AM73°57%
- 1 AM72°55%
- 2 AM72°57%
- 3 AM72°66%
- 4 AM72°77%
- 5 AM72°71%
- 6 AM70°78%
- 7 AM70°82%
- 8 AM72°74%
- 9 AM74°68%
- 10 AM76°64%
- 11 AM78°70%
- 12 PM79°59%
Daily forecast
Details- TodayOct 21Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Showers And Thunderstorms Likely77%70°87°
- ThuOct 22Showers And Thunderstorms82%64°81°
- FriOct 23Sunny61°77°
- SatOct 24Sunny60°76°
- SunOct 25Sunny61°79°
- MonOct 26Sunny62°82°
- TueOct 27Sunny63°84°
- WedOct 28Cloudy56°83°
- ThuOct 29Partly cloudy56°84°
Days after the National Weather Service's seven are MET Norway's outlook, a computer model with no forecaster's review.
Radar
Full mapWeather news near Mesa
More weather news-
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Air quality
Air quality is satisfactory, and air pollution poses little or no risk.
Salt River Pima-Maricopa Indian Community, AZ reporting area · 2 hrs ago. Data from AirNow (EPA and its state, local and tribal partners); preliminary and subject to change.
Sun & moon
Almanac
MonthlyPhoenix Area, records since 1895. Normals 1991–2020. Data from NOAA's Regional Climate Centers (ACIS).
Nearby
- Phoenix 33 km
- Chandler 22 km
- Gilbert 15 km
- Glendale 44 km
- Scottsdale 17 km
- Peoria 50 km
- Tempe 19 km
- Tempe Junction 22 km
- Surprise 60 km
- San Tan Valley 36 km
- Avondale 59 km
- Goodyear 59 km
Forecasters' discussion
From the National Weather Service office in PSR, issued 7 hrs ago
Update
Updated 12Z Aviation Discussion.
Key Messages
- A strong low pressure system is expected to bring multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms through Thursday across much of central and eastern Arizona.
- Moderate to heavy rainfall activity leading to areas of flash flooding as well as isolated to widely scattered strong to severe thunderstorms leading to damaging wind gusts, large hail, and even a few isolated tornadoes are all possible.
- Drier air filtering into the region by the end of the week will lead to more benign weather conditions during the weekend through at least early next week.
- Near normal temperatures today will cool to below normal levels by the latter half of the week and last through the weekend.
Aviation
Updated at 1203Z.
South Central Arizona including KPHX, KIWA, KSDL, and KDVT: Rounds of isolated to scattered strong thunderstorms with heavy rain leading to sub-VFR VIS, brief strong and erratic wind gusts, isolated large hail, and low CIGs will be possible today through at least Thursday morning. Confidence in timing out best chances RA/TS is moderate, as isolated RA/TS may develop at any time. An increase in activity is expected going into this afternoon and then there may be a break this evening/early tonight before another round develops later tonight-Thursday morning. A downtrend in activity is expected by Thursday evening. Winds will favor a light easterly component through most of the TAF period, with periods of southerly winds during showers and storms. Lowest CIGs today are expected around 5-7K ft AGL and then may dip to 3-5K ft Thursday morning with showers and storms.
Southeast California/Southwest Arizona including KIPL and KBLH: No major aviation concerns are expected during the TAF period. Outside of extended periods of VRB conditions, S'rly flow will be favored at KBLH, with some gusts upwards of 20-25 kt during the afternoon hours, while winds at KIPL will take on familiar diurnal trends, flipping between SE and W. FEW-SCT skies will be common through Wednesday evening, with the lowest bases around 6-7 kft.
Fire Weather
A low pressure system will bring very active weather conditions across much of central and eastern AZ through Thursday as multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected. Significant rainfall activity is likely in some areas, particularly across the higher terrain areas of the eastern districts where rainfall amounts in excess of 1-2" are possible. MinRHs through Thursday will range between 30-40% across the western districts and between 40-70% across the eastern districts along with good to excellent overnight recoveries. Some gusty winds with peak gusts upwards of 25-30 mph are likely this afternoon and once again on Thursday across the western districts. Much quieter conditions are expected starting Friday along with a decrease in humidity values. Near normal temperatures today will cool into a below normal category starting Thursday and lasting through the weekend.
Forecasts, observations and alerts in the United States come from the National Weather Service (NOAA); radar from NOAA's Multi-Radar Multi-Sensor system; satellite imagery from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS) and NOAA's GOES satellites; the map from the U.S. Geological Survey's National Map; air quality from AirNow (EPA and its partners); hurricane information from the National Hurricane Center; climate normals and records from NOAA's Regional Climate Centers (ACIS). Forecasts outside the United States and the UV index: MET Norway (CC BY 4.0); observations outside the U.S.: airport reports via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center. Place names: GeoNames (CC BY 4.0). Data are copied on a schedule and may lag the sources; for warnings that affect your safety, follow your local National Weather Service office and emergency officials. Weather news is drawn from the 4Conservative index and reflects what the press published. Terms of use.