Mesa, AZ 85211 Weather

Maricopa County4:45 AM MST33.47°N, 111.84°W
Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 11:00 AM ThuFlood Watch until 5:00 PM Thu

Current conditions

Mostly Clear
73°
Mostly Clear
Feels like 74°
High 81°·Low 70° tonight
WindNNE 5 mph
Humidity78%
Dew point66°
Pressure29.86 inHg
Visibility10 mi
Cloud cover77%
UV index0 Low
Sunrise6:38 AM
Sunset5:47 PM

Observed at Mesa / Falcon Field · 1 hr ago

Forecast

10-day

  • Overnight

    Showers and thunderstorms likely before 5am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. East northeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

  • Thursday

    Showers and thunderstorms likely before 7am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 7am and 8am, then showers and thunderstorms between 8am and 3pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 3pm and 5pm. Some of the storms could be severe. Mostly cloudy. High near 81, with temperatures falling to around 77 in the afternoon. South southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

  • Thursday Night

    Mostly clear, with a low around 62. South wind 0 to 5 mph.

National Weather Service forecast updated 4 hrs ago.

Hourly

Hourly forecast
  1. Now Showers And Thunderstorms Likely 72°65%
  2. 5 AM Chance Showers And Thunderstorms 71°51%
  3. 6 AM Showers And Thunderstorms Likely 70°55%
  4. 7 AM Chance Showers And Thunderstorms 70°53%
  5. 8 AM Showers And Thunderstorms Likely 72°60%
  6. 9 AM Showers And Thunderstorms Likely 74°72%
  7. 10 AM Showers And Thunderstorms Likely 75°69%
  8. 11 AM Showers And Thunderstorms Likely 78°70%
  9. 12 PM Showers And Thunderstorms 78°75%
  10. 1 PM Showers And Thunderstorms Likely 79°71%
  11. 2 PM Showers And Thunderstorms Likely 80°55%
  12. 3 PM Chance Showers And Thunderstorms 78°49%
  13. 4 PM Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms 77°24%
  14. 5 PM Mostly Sunny 77°
  15. 6 PM Partly Cloudy 73°
  16. 7 PM Mostly Clear 72°
  17. 8 PM Mostly Clear 71°
  18. 9 PM Mostly Clear 70°
  19. 10 PM Mostly Clear 69°
  20. 11 PM Mostly Clear 68°
  21. Fri12 AM Mostly Clear 67°
  22. 1 AM Mostly Clear 66°
  23. 2 AM Mostly Clear 66°
  24. 3 AM Mostly Clear 65°

10-day forecast

Details
  1. TonightOct 21 Showers And Thunderstorms Likely Showers And Thunderstorms Likely72%70°
  2. TodayOct 22 Showers And Thunderstorms Showers And Thunderstorms75%62°81°
  3. FriOct 23 Sunny Sunny60°78°
  4. SatOct 24 Sunny Sunny59°77°
  5. SunOct 25 Sunny Sunny60°79°
  6. MonOct 26 Sunny Sunny62°83°
  7. TueOct 27 Sunny Sunny63°85°
  8. WedOct 28 Mostly Sunny Mostly Sunny84°
  9. ThuOct 29 Cloudy Cloudy60°85°
  10. FriOct 30 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy60°79°

Days after the National Weather Service's seven are MET Norway's outlook, a computer model with no forecaster's review.

Radar

Full map
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Weather news near Mesa

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Air quality

16
Good
Ozone

Air quality is satisfactory, and air pollution poses little or no risk.

Salt River Pima-Maricopa Indian Community, AZ reporting area · 1 hr ago. Data from AirNow (EPA and its state, local and tribal partners); preliminary and subject to change.

Sun & moon

Sunrise 6:38 AM
Sunset 5:47 PM
Daylight 11 h 8 min (−1 min 55 s tomorrow)
Waxing Gibbous · 85% lit
Moonrise 3:42 PM Moonset 3:01 AM
Full moon Oct 26 New moon Nov 9

Almanac

Monthly
Normal high / low87° / 63°
Record high102° (2003)
Record low41° (1949)
Wettest0.38 in (1974)
Month to date0.42 in (normal 0.39 in)

Phoenix Airport, records since 1933. Normals 1991–2020. Data from NOAA's Regional Climate Centers (ACIS).

Nearby

Forecasters' discussion

From the National Weather Service office in PSR, issued 5 hrs ago

Update

06Z Aviation Discussion.

Key Messages

- A strong low pressure system will support multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms, some of which may be strong to severe through Thursday afternoon across much of central and eastern Arizona.

- Moderate to heavy rainfall with totals over one inch may result in areas of flash flooding across south-central Arizona with a focus on upslope, terrain areas.

- Drier air filtering into the region by the end of the week will lead to more benign weather conditions during the weekend and through at least early next week.

- Near normal temperatures will cool to below normal levels by the latter half of the week and continuing through early next week.

Aviation

Updated at 0550Z.

South Central Arizona including KPHX, KIWA, KSDL, and KDVT: The main aviation concern through Thursday morning will be the potential for another round of VCTS/TS which could impact the metro terminals, result in gusty winds, brief heavy rainfall, lightning, and hail. Currently there is a lull in thunderstorm activity across southcentral AZ, however storm chances will ramp up again after midnight. The most likely period of time to see thunderstorms will be between 10Z-16Z Thursday morning. Winds will continue out of the east through much of the overnight period. Once thunderstorms develop, outflow will result in a NW shift followed by a westerly shift once storms clear east of the terminals late Thursday morning. CIGs are expected to remain around 5-7K ft AGL overnight, however there could be a period of CIGs as low as 3-5K as showers progress through the metro area.

Southeast California/Southwest Arizona including KIPL and KBLH: No major aviation weather concerns are anticipated through the forecast period. Winds will favor a southerly to southwesterly component at KBLH and westerly at KIPL. Gusts up to 25 kts will become common at both terminals early Thursday afternoon. FEW to SCT clouds, mostly aoa 7 kft, will prevail.

Fire Weather

A low pressure system will bring very active weather conditions across much of central and eastern AZ through Thursday as multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected. Significant rainfall activity is likely in some areas, particularly across the higher terrain areas of the eastern districts where rainfall amounts in excess of 1-2" are possible. MinRHs through Thursday will range between 30-40% across the western districts and between 40-70% across the eastern districts along with good to excellent overnight recoveries. Some gusty winds with peak gusts upwards of 25-30 mph are likely this afternoon and once again on Thursday across the western districts. Much quieter conditions are expected starting Friday along with a decrease in humidity values. Near normal temperatures today will cool into a below normal category starting Thursday and lasting through the weekend.

Forecasts, observations and alerts in the United States come from the National Weather Service (NOAA); radar from NOAA's Multi-Radar Multi-Sensor system; satellite imagery from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS) and NOAA's GOES satellites; the map from the U.S. Geological Survey's National Map; air quality from AirNow (EPA and its partners); hurricane information from the National Hurricane Center; climate normals and records from NOAA's Regional Climate Centers (ACIS). Forecasts outside the United States and the UV index: MET Norway (CC BY 4.0); observations outside the U.S.: airport reports via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center. Place names: GeoNames (CC BY 4.0). Data are copied on a schedule and may lag the sources; for warnings that affect your safety, follow your local National Weather Service office and emergency officials. Weather news is drawn from the 4Conservative index and reflects what the press published. Terms of use.