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Mesa, AZ 85208 Weather
Current conditions
Observed at Mesa / Falcon Field · 55 min ago
Forecast
10-day-
Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 7pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 7pm and 2am, then showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could be severe. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. East northeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
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Thursday
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 1pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 1pm and 4pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 4pm and 5pm. Partly sunny. High near 82, with temperatures falling to around 77 in the afternoon. South wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
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Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 64. South wind around 5 mph.
National Weather Service forecast updated 2 hrs ago.
Hourly
Hourly forecast- Now78°57%
- 7 PM77°52%
- 8 PM77°48%
- 9 PM76°43%
- 10 PM75°54%
- 11 PM74°41%
- Thu12 AM74°43%
- 1 AM74°48%
- 2 AM73°55%
- 3 AM73°60%
- 4 AM72°73%
- 5 AM71°76%
- 6 AM71°73%
- 7 AM70°57%
- 8 AM72°59%
- 9 AM74°65%
- 10 AM76°60%
- 11 AM78°63%
- 12 PM79°63%
- 1 PM79°54%
- 2 PM81°46%
- 3 PM79°34%
- 4 PM78°25%
- 5 PM77°
10-day forecast
Details- TonightOct 21Showers And Thunderstorms Likely then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms76%70°
- ThuOct 22Showers And Thunderstorms Likely73%64°82°
- FriOct 23Sunny61°77°
- SatOct 24Sunny60°76°
- SunOct 25Sunny61°79°
- MonOct 26Sunny62°82°
- TueOct 27Sunny63°83°
- WedOct 28Mostly Sunny14%82°
- ThuOct 29Cloudy64°84°
- FriOct 30Cloudy0.02 in61°78°
Days after the National Weather Service's seven are MET Norway's outlook, a computer model with no forecaster's review.
Radar
Full mapWeather news near Mesa
More weather news-
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Air quality
Air quality is satisfactory, and air pollution poses little or no risk.
Salt River Pima-Maricopa Indian Community, AZ reporting area · 1 hr ago. Data from AirNow (EPA and its state, local and tribal partners); preliminary and subject to change.
Sun & moon
Almanac
MonthlyPhoenix Area, records since 1895. Normals 1991–2020. Data from NOAA's Regional Climate Centers (ACIS).
Nearby
- Phoenix 40 km
- Chandler 20 km
- Gilbert 14 km
- Glendale 52 km
- Scottsdale 26 km
- Peoria 58 km
- Tempe 24 km
- Tempe Junction 27 km
- San Tan Valley 26 km
- Casa Grande 59 km
- Maricopa 53 km
- Apache Junction 10 km
Forecasters' discussion
From the National Weather Service office in PSR, issued 1 hr ago
Update
00Z Aviation Discussion.
Key Messages
- A strong low pressure system will support multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms, some of which may be strong to severe through Thursday afternoon across much of central and eastern Arizona.
- Moderate to heavy rainfall with totals over one inch may result in areas of flash flooding across south-central Arizona with a focus on upslope, terrain areas.
- Drier air filtering into the region by the end of the week will lead to more benign weather conditions during the weekend and through at least early next week.
- Near normal temperatures will cool to below normal levels by the latter half of the week and continuing through early next week.
Aviation
Updated at 2350Z.
South Central Arizona including KPHX, KIWA, KSDL, and KDVT: The main aviation concerns through Thursday morning continue to be periods of VCTS/TS which could result in gusty winds, IFR/MVFR vsbys due to heavy rainfall, lightning, and hail. There will be a lull in thunderstorm activity for several hours after 01Z this evening, however storm chances will ramp up again late tonight. The most likely period of time to see thunderstorms overnight will be generally after midnight through 7 AM Thursday morning. Winds will likely shift back out of the east this evening and remain easterly through the period, although thunderstorms could cause wind directions to fluctuate to northerly or westerly briefly. CIGs are expected to remain around 5-7K ft AGL and then may dip to 3-5K ft early Thursday morning as showers continue to progress through the metro area.
Southeast California/Southwest Arizona including KIPL and KBLH: No major aviation weather concerns are anticipated through the forecast period. Winds will favor a southerly component at KBLH and fluctuate between southeasterly and westerly at KIPL. Gust around 20-25 kts can be expected at KBLH through early this evening. FEW to SCT clouds, mostly aoa 6-7 kft, will be common through this evening.
Fire Weather
A low pressure system will bring very active weather conditions across much of central and eastern AZ through Thursday as multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected. Significant rainfall activity is likely in some areas, particularly across the higher terrain areas of the eastern districts where rainfall amounts in excess of 1-2" are possible. MinRHs through Thursday will range between 30-40% across the western districts and between 40-70% across the eastern districts along with good to excellent overnight recoveries. Some gusty winds with peak gusts upwards of 25-30 mph are likely this afternoon and once again on Thursday across the western districts. Much quieter conditions are expected starting Friday along with a decrease in humidity values. Near normal temperatures today will cool into a below normal category starting Thursday and lasting through the weekend.
Forecasts, observations and alerts in the United States come from the National Weather Service (NOAA); radar from NOAA's Multi-Radar Multi-Sensor system; satellite imagery from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS) and NOAA's GOES satellites; the map from the U.S. Geological Survey's National Map; air quality from AirNow (EPA and its partners); hurricane information from the National Hurricane Center; climate normals and records from NOAA's Regional Climate Centers (ACIS). Forecasts outside the United States and the UV index: MET Norway (CC BY 4.0); observations outside the U.S.: airport reports via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center. Place names: GeoNames (CC BY 4.0). Data are copied on a schedule and may lag the sources; for warnings that affect your safety, follow your local National Weather Service office and emergency officials. Weather news is drawn from the 4Conservative index and reflects what the press published. Terms of use.