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Warsaw, NY 14569 Weather
Current conditions
Observed at Dansville, Dansville Municipal Airport · 34 min ago
Forecast
10-day-
Tonight
Mostly clear, with a low around 37. Northwest wind around 2 mph.
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Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 59. Northwest wind 2 to 8 mph.
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Thursday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37. Northeast wind 2 to 6 mph.
National Weather Service forecast updated 2 hrs ago.
Hourly
Hourly forecast- Now54°
- 7 PM47°
- 8 PM42°
- 9 PM41°
- 10 PM40°
- 11 PM40°
- Thu12 AM39°
- 1 AM38°
- 2 AM38°
- 3 AM37°
- 4 AM37°
- 5 AM37°
- 6 AM37°
- 7 AM37°
- 8 AM38°
- 9 AM43°
- 10 AM49°
- 11 AM52°
- 12 PM56°
- 1 PM57°
- 2 PM59°
- 3 PM59°
- 4 PM59°
- 5 PM58°
10-day forecast
Details- TonightOct 21Mostly Clear37°
- ThuOct 22Mostly Sunny37°59°
- FriOct 23Sunny33°54°
- SatOct 24Sunny38°61°
- SunOct 25Sunny45°64°
- MonOct 26Mostly Sunny10%43°64°
- TueOct 27Partly Sunny38°55°
- WedOct 28Mostly Sunny58°
- ThuOct 29Cloudy52°65°
- FriOct 30Cloudy0.08 in44°57°
Days after the National Weather Service's seven are MET Norway's outlook, a computer model with no forecaster's review.
Radar
Full mapWeather news in New York
More weather news-
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Dangerous Freeze Warnings for 7 Counties in New York as Temperatures PlummetFreeze Warnings take effect tonight across parts of New York, with lows in the upper 20s to around 30 expected from the Hudson Valley to Buffalo. The warnings run into 9 a.m. EDT Sunday. Frost and freeze conditions…
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Bundle up! Cold snap hits New York City this weekendThe Friday night severe thunderstorm threat may have passed, but our weekend weather woes are not over quite yet. A surge of much colder air now sweeps across the region. Saturday is forecast to be windy and noticeably…
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Dangerous Freeze Watches Issued for Ohio, Pennsylvania and New York as Temperatures PlummetFreeze Watches are in effect from late Saturday night through Sunday morning across Ohio, Pennsylvania, western New York, West Virginia, Maryland and Virginia, with lows as cold as 25 degrees possible. A strong cold…
Air quality
Air quality is satisfactory, and air pollution poses little or no risk.
Forecast
- WedGood (38)
- ThuGood (46)
Western New York Region, NY reporting area · 1 hr ago. Data from AirNow (EPA and its state, local and tribal partners); preliminary and subject to change.
Sun & moon
Almanac
MonthlyMount Morris 2w, records since 1893. Normals 1991–2020. Data from NOAA's Regional Climate Centers (ACIS).
Nearby
- Amherst 60 km
- Cheektowaga 53 km
- West Seneca 55 km
- Henrietta 56 km
- East Amherst 55 km
- Lackawanna 56 km
- Depew 48 km
- Gates-North Gates 59 km
- Eggertsville 59 km
- Batavia 29 km
- West Henrietta 51 km
- Lancaster 47 km
Forecasters' discussion
From the National Weather Service office in BUF, issued 5 hrs ago
What Has Changed
No major changes with this forecast update.
Key Messages
1) Dry and tranquil weather will prevail through this weekend.
Discussion
KEY MESSAGE 1...Dry and tranquil weather will prevail through this weekend.
Clear skies persist across western New York early this afternoon as a ridge of high pressure across the Midwest into the lower Great Lakes region slowly drifts eastward. Latest GOES imagery shows a strip of cloud cover moving across Lake Superior along a cold front associated with a surface low up near the Hudson Bay. This weak, dry cold front will continue to approach western NY late tonight into early Thursday. Deep layer moisture will be rather limited keeping us dry, but a cooling low-level air mass with 850mb temps dropping near 2-5 degC passing over lake temperatures around 60 degF should be sufficient enough lake response for afternoon cloud cover Thursday southeast of the lakes. Friday will be a few degrees cooler, but still seasonable as mid-level heights will begin to rise with an upper level ridge building across the central CONUS. This will support high pressure building back into the northeast with clear skies and a return to slightly above normal temperatures for late October persisting through the weekend.
Aviation
While strong surface high pressure will prevail across the region through this afternoon and through Thursday, a weak dry cold front will drop southeast across the region Thursday. However, ahead of the front weak variable winds and clear skies will support widespread VFR conditions to prevail through tonight. However, localized river valley fog with MVFR to LIFR across the western Southern Tier and the Black River Valley may develop after 03Z Thursday through 12Z Thursday. This being said, the vertical wind profile in the lowest 2kft AGL is still expected to be unfavorable for the fog to reach KJHW.
In the wake of the cold frontal passage Thursday, VFR conditions will prevail, with some low end VFR CIGs developing due to lake enhanced clouds southeast of both Lakes.
Outlook...
Thursday Night through Monday...Dry weather and mainly VFR expected. However, localized river valley fog possible with MVFR to LIFR in the Black River Valley and Western Southern Tier river valleys each morning.
Forecasts, observations and alerts in the United States come from the National Weather Service (NOAA); radar from NOAA's Multi-Radar Multi-Sensor system; satellite imagery from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS) and NOAA's GOES satellites; the map from the U.S. Geological Survey's National Map; air quality from AirNow (EPA and its partners); hurricane information from the National Hurricane Center; climate normals and records from NOAA's Regional Climate Centers (ACIS). Forecasts outside the United States and the UV index: MET Norway (CC BY 4.0); observations outside the U.S.: airport reports via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center. Place names: GeoNames (CC BY 4.0). Data are copied on a schedule and may lag the sources; for warnings that affect your safety, follow your local National Weather Service office and emergency officials. Weather news is drawn from the 4Conservative index and reflects what the press published. Terms of use.