Amazon (AMZN) closes above ___ on October 13?
$259.86median
$245$275
Median $259.86Middle half $256.29 – $264.14Above today's price 52%
Install
Amazon 2026 capex above ___?
The odds
99%$170 billion
- $170 billion99%
- $190 billion96%▼ 1
- $180 billion95%
- $200 billion92%
- $210 billion81%
- $220 billion71%▲ 4
How the odds have moved
$170 billion: 99% on Oct 13, 99% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $170 billion | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | $1.4K | |
| $190 billion | 96% | ▼ 1 | 94¢ | 98¢ | $5.9K |
| $180 billion | 95% | 95¢ | 96¢ | $6.4K | |
| $200 billion | 92% | 91¢ | 92¢ | $5.6K | |
| $210 billion | 81% | 80¢ | 81¢ | $2.9K | |
| $220 billion | 71% | ▲ 4 | 68¢ | 74¢ | $2.8K |
Related markets
All stocks & companies ›What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of October 12 2026?
48%↑ $264
Traders see as low as $252.99.
- Reaches $26448%
- Reaches $26828%
- Reaches $27228%
- Reaches $27628%
- Falls to $25676%
- Falls to $25242%
- Falls to $24820%
- Falls to $2448%
Already reached: ↓ $260
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of October 12 above___?
$259.02median
$230$300
Median $259.02Middle half $252.83 – $265Above today's price 48%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above ___ end of October?
$258.65median
$180$320
Median $258.65Middle half $240.53 – $276.52Above today's price 48%
What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit in October 2026?
$274.40high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $274.40 and as low as $239.66.
- Reaches $26479%
- Reaches $27256%
- Reaches $28036%
- Reaches $28823%
- Falls to $25670%
- Falls to $24870%
- Falls to $24051%
- Falls to $23228%
Already reached: ↑ $256, ↓ $248, ↑ $248, ↑ $256, ↓ $256
Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?
$2.85Tmedian
$1.5T$5T
Median $2.85TMiddle half $2.54T – $3.23TAbove today's price —
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.