Predictions › Stocks & companies Amazon (AMZN) closes above ___ on October 13? Polymarket Closes today 4:00 PM ET · $65.50 traded · prices read 8 min ago
$245 $275
Median $260.15 Middle half $256.62 – $264 Above today's price 54%
Median: $258.11 on Oct 13, $260.15 now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Traders see as low as $253.01 .
Reaches $264 46% Reaches $268 23% Reaches $272 9% Reaches $276 9% Falls to $256 77% Falls to $252 41% Falls to $248 20% Falls to $244 7% Already reached: ↓ $260
$230 $300
Median $259.49 Middle half $253.13 – $263.97 Above today's price 50%
$180 $320
Median $258.68 Middle half $240.56 – $276.54 Above today's price 48%
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $274.20 and as low as $242.67 .
Reaches $264 80% Reaches $272 56% Reaches $280 36% Reaches $288 23% Falls to $256 93% Falls to $248 65% Falls to $240 43% Falls to $232 28% Already reached: ↑ $256, ↓ $248, ↑ $248, ↑ $256, ↓ $256
$1.5T $5T
Median $2.82T Middle half $2.41T – $3.22T Above today's price —
85 166
Median 113.6 Middle half 107.4 – 120
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Settles on Pyth price feed
Trading closes Oct 13, 2026 4:00 PM ET
Traded $65.50 traded
Prices read 8 min ago
Followed since Oct 12, 2026
The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket .
Reading the odds Each price is the market's probability: a contract at 84¢ that pays $1 if the outcome happens means traders give it an 84% chance. The number shown is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
The strikes' odds give a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way, and the middle half spans the 25th to the 75th percentile.
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Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use .