Lam Research (LRCX) Q1 China revenue mix?

Polymarket Closes Oct 21 · $459 traded · prices read 17 min ago

The odds

27.58%median
18%38%
Median 27.58%Middle half 23.62% – 32.9%

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Traded
<22% 14% 2¢ 27¢
22% to 26% 26% 24¢ 28¢ $20.00
26% to 30% 24% 7¢ 41¢ $439
30% to 34% 14% 2¢ 27¢
34%+ 21% 3¢ 39¢

Related markets

All stocks & companies ›

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

$2.42Thigh with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.42T.

  • Reaches $1.5T93%
  • Reaches $1.75T82%
  • Reaches $2T69%
  • Reaches $2.5T47%
  • Falls to $800B3%
  • Falls to $700B3%
  • Falls to $600B2%

Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T

Anthropic IPO by __?

Nov 28, 2026even chance by
  • October 15, 2026<1%
  • October 31, 2026<1%
  • November 15, 20266%▲ 2
  • November 30, 202658%▲ 4
2 more
  • December 15, 202667%▲ 6
  • December 31, 202673%▲ 1

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

26%$2.0–$2.25T
  • $2.0–$2.25T26%▼ 3
  • $1.75–$2.0T24%▲ 7
  • $2.25–$2.5T20%▼ 3
  • $2.5–$2.75T9%▼ 1
6 more
  • $1.5–$1.75T9%▲ 3
  • $1.25–$1.5T4%
  • $3.0T+3%▼ 1
  • No IPO by December 31, 20273%▼ 1
  • <$1.25T2%▼ 1
  • $2.75–$3.0T2%▼ 1

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.