Predictions › Stocks & companies Palantir (PLTR) closes week of Oct 12 at ___? Polymarket Closes Fri 4:00 PM ET · prices read 17 min ago
$198 $220
Median $205.86 Middle half $202.36 – $213.98 Above today's price 40%
Median: $208.55 on Oct 13, $205.86 now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $213.83 and as low as $201.30 .
Reaches $210 80% Reaches $213 56% Reaches $216 36% Reaches $219 26% Falls to $204 68% Falls to $201 48% Falls to $198 30% Falls to $195 18% Already reached: ↑ $210, ↓ $207, ↓ $207
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $221.05 and as low as $194.71 .
Reaches $210 88% Reaches $216 66% Reaches $222 47% Reaches $228 32% Falls to $204 86% Falls to $198 62% Falls to $192 41% Falls to $186 40% Already reached: ↑ $210, ↑ $204, ↑ $198, ↓ $192, ↑ $192, ↑ $192
$176 $204
Above today's price —
1,050 1,160
Median 1,099 Middle half 1,090 – 1,112
Unusual Machines 42% ▲ 3 Anduril 21% ▼ 3 OpenAI 14% Palantir 4% 13 more TSMC 13% ▲ 1 Anthropic 12% ▼ 2 Nvidia 11% ▼ 2 Lockheed Martin 11% IonQ 11% ▼ 2 Boeing 9% ▼ 1 Micron 9% Eli Lilly 8% Freeport-McMoRan 8% SpaceX 8% Pfizer 5% TikTok US / Bytedance 4% Samsung Electronics 4% Unusual Machines 42% ▲ 1 Anduril 20% ▼ 7 Neros Technologies 18% ▼ 2 Palantir 9% ▼ 1 14 more Performance Drone Works 14% ▼ 1 Anthropic 11% ▲ 1 OpenAI 11% ▼ 1 TSMC 10% ▼ 1 IonQ 10% Micron 9% ▲ 1 Eli Lilly 9% ▼ 2 Boeing 8% ▼ 1 Lockheed Martin 8% ▼ 2 Nvidia 7% ▼ 2 Freeport-McMoRan 7% ▼ 1 Pfizer 7% TikTok US 6% ▼ 1 Spirit Airlines 3% Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Trading closes Oct 16, 2026 4:00 PM ET
Traded —
Prices read 17 min ago
Followed since Oct 12, 2026
The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket .
Reading the odds Each price is the market's probability: a contract at 84¢ that pays $1 if the outcome happens means traders give it an 84% chance. The number shown is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
The strikes' odds give a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way, and the middle half spans the 25th to the 75th percentile.
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Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use .