How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in October?
47%5.08%
5.05%5.55%
Above today's price —
Install
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 13, 2026?
The odds
4.98%median
5Y Yield now 5.019 −0.04% 4.83%5.15%
Median 4.98%Middle half 4.93% – 5.02%Above today's price 25%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.86% or above | 99% | 85¢ | 27.00 | ||
| 4.88% or above | 99% | 81¢ | 27.00 | ||
| 4.9% or above | 99% | 87¢ | 99¢ | 170 | |
| 5.02% or above | 34% | 15¢ | 31¢ | 100 | |
| 5.04% or above | 15% | 8¢ | 25¢ | 100 | |
| 5.1% or above | 4% | 7¢ | 200 | ||
| 5.12% or above | 3% | 5¢ | |||
| 5.14% or above | 2% | 3¢ |
More on this question
All central banks & rates ›How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in October?
36%Below 4.65%
4.6%4.98%
Above today's price —
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.21%median
4.95%5.4%
Median 5.21%Above today's price —
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
5%Below 4.00%
3.9%4.55%
Above today's price —
SOFR for October 9, 2026
3.87%median
3.85%3.92%
Median 3.87%Middle half 3.87% – 3.87%
How many dissenting votes at the October Fed meeting? (October 2026)
1.56median
-0.505.50
Median 1.56Middle half 0.40 – 2.71
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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