10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 13, 2026?

Kalshi Closes today 3:30 PM ET · 24.1K contracts · prices read 17 min ago

The odds

5.19%median
10Y Yield now 5.240 −0.08%
5.08%5.4%
Median 5.19%Middle half 5.15% – 5.21%Above today's price 15%

How the odds have moved

Median: 5.2% on Oct 13, 5.19% now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
5.11% or above 99% 98¢ 99¢ 4.9K
5.13% or above 99% 98¢ 99¢ 21.00
5.15% or above 85% 84¢ 85¢ 255
5.17% or above 69% 67¢ 71¢ 213
5.19% or above 56% 54¢ 57¢ 1.5K
5.21% or above 41% 40¢ 42¢ 348
5.23% or above 18% 17¢ 18¢ 34.00
5.25% or above 15% 12¢ 18¢ 779
5.27% or above 5% 4¢ 5¢ 79.00
5.29% or above 3% 1¢ 2¢ 1.3K
5.31% or above 3% 7¢ 1.3K
5.33% or above 2% 3¢ 1.6K
5.35% or above 1% 2¢ 1.6K
5.37% or above 1% 1¢ 8.8K
5.39% or above 1% 1¢ 1.3K

More on this question

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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