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Kalshi Closes Mar 10, 2027 · 3.0K contracts · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

123.32Mmedian
120.00M129.00M
Median 123.32MMiddle half 121.71M – 125.16M

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
Above 121 million 81% ▼ 1 78¢ 84¢ 810
Above 122 million 73% 69¢ 76¢ 281
Above 123 million 56% ▲ 1 52¢ 59¢ 611
Above 124 million 39% ▼ 1 34¢ 43¢ 404
Above 125 million 27% ▼ 1 26¢ 28¢ 249
Above 126 million 14% ▼ 1 10¢ 19¢ 318
Above 127 million 12% ▲ 1 10¢ 14¢ 162
Above 128 million 6% 2¢ 10¢ 193

Related markets

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Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

$2.42Thigh with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.42T.

  • Reaches $1.5T93%
  • Reaches $1.75T82%
  • Reaches $2T69%
  • Reaches $2.5T47%
  • Falls to $800B3%
  • Falls to $700B3%
  • Falls to $600B2%

Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T

Anthropic IPO by __?

Nov 30, 2026even chance by
  • October 15, 2026<1%
  • October 31, 2026<1%
  • November 15, 20266%▲ 2
  • November 30, 202653%▼ 2
2 more
  • December 15, 202665%▲ 3
  • December 31, 202670%▼ 3

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

26%$2.0–$2.25T
  • $2.0–$2.25T26%▼ 3
  • $1.75–$2.0T23%▲ 7
  • $2.25–$2.5T20%▼ 3
  • $2.5–$2.75T9%▼ 1
6 more
  • $1.5–$1.75T9%▲ 2
  • $1.25–$1.5T4%▲ 1
  • $3.0T+3%
  • No IPO by December 31, 20272%▼ 1
  • <$1.25T2%▼ 1
  • $2.75–$3.0T2%▼ 1

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.