Largest Company end of December 2026?
79%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA79%▼ 7
- Apple18%▲ 3
- Alphabet2%
- Microsoft<1%
4 more
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
Install
Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year? (Before 2027)
The odds
69%Anthropic
- Anthropic69%▼ 5
- Discord14%▼ 2
- Gopuff8%
- Skims7%
- Plaid7%
- Oura7%
- Kraken6%
- Deel5%
- Airwallex5%▼ 1
- DeepSeek5%▼ 3
- Mistral AI4%
- Vanta4%
15 more
- Ripple Labs4%
- Stripe4%▲ 1
- Applied Intuition4%
- Glean4%
- Rippling3%
- Beast Industries3%
- Celonis3%▼ 1
- Ramp3%
- Brex3%
- xAI3%
- Anduril2%
- Databricks2%▲ 1
- OpenAI2%
- Anysphere (Cursor)2%
- Bloomberg2%
How the odds have moved
Anthropic: 70% on Oct 13, 69% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Shein | 98% | 41.6K | |||
| Anthropic | 69% | ▼ 5 | 68¢ | 69¢ | 362.4K |
| Discord | 14% | ▼ 2 | 13¢ | 14¢ | 135.8K |
| Gopuff | 8% | 5¢ | 11¢ | 1.7K | |
| Skims | 7% | 5¢ | 8¢ | 8.0K | |
| Plaid | 7% | 4¢ | 9¢ | 51.4K | |
| Oura | 7% | 5¢ | 8¢ | 39.4K | |
| Kraken | 6% | 5¢ | 6¢ | 143.8K | |
| Deel | 5% | 3¢ | 6¢ | 37.1K | |
| Airwallex | 5% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 7¢ | 13.4K |
| DeepSeek | 5% | ▼ 3 | 2¢ | 7¢ | 5.9K |
| Mistral AI | 4% | 2¢ | 6¢ | 6.7K | |
| Vanta | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | 10.7K | |
| Ripple Labs | 4% | 2¢ | 5¢ | 34.5K | |
| Stripe | 4% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 5¢ | 80.1K |
| Applied Intuition | 4% | 2¢ | 5¢ | 24.4K | |
| Glean | 4% | 3¢ | 4¢ | 8.0K | |
| Rippling | 3% | 2¢ | 4¢ | 20.1K | |
| Beast Industries | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | 15.5K | |
| Celonis | 3% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 4¢ | 17.9K |
| Ramp | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | 32.4K | |
| Brex | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | 33.7K | |
| xAI | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | 41.5K | |
| Anduril | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | 259.5K | |
| Databricks | 2% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 3¢ | 226.7K |
| OpenAI | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | 424.8K | |
| Anysphere (Cursor) | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | 26.3K | |
| Bloomberg | 2% | 4¢ | 3.0K |
Related markets
All stocks & companies ›Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
$2.42Thigh with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.42T.
- Reaches $1.5T93%
- Reaches $1.75T82%
- Reaches $2T69%
- Reaches $2.5T47%
- Falls to $800B3%
- Falls to $700B3%
- Falls to $600B2%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
Anthropic IPO by __?
Nov 28, 2026even chance by
- October 15, 2026<1%
- October 31, 2026<1%
- November 15, 20266%▲ 2
- November 30, 202658%▲ 4
2 more
- December 15, 202666%▲ 4
- December 31, 202670%▼ 3
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?
22%December 31, 2029
- December 31, 202710%
- December 31, 202819%
- December 31, 202922%
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
26%$2.0–$2.25T
- $2.0–$2.25T26%▼ 3
- $1.75–$2.0T24%▲ 6
- $2.25–$2.5T20%▼ 3
- $2.5–$2.75T9%▼ 1
6 more
- $1.5–$1.75T9%▲ 3
- $1.25–$1.5T3%▼ 1
- $3.0T+3%
- No IPO by December 31, 20272%▼ 1
- <$1.25T2%▼ 1
- $2.75–$3.0T2%▼ 1
Largest Company end of October 2026?
61%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA61%▼ 5
- Other34%
- Apple5%▲ 3
- Alphabet<1%
6 more
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Broadcom<1%
- Microsoft<1%
- Amazon<1%
- SpaceX<1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.