EURUSD price on Oct 16 at 5:00 PM EDT (Oct 16, 2026 at 5pm ET)

Kalshi Closes Fri 5:00 PM ET · 21.00 contracts · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

1.1173median

EUR/USD now 1.1194 +0.30%

1.09501.1370

Median 1.1173Middle half 1.1125 – 1.1226Above today's price 40%

How the odds have moved

Median: 1.1172 on Oct 13, 1.1173 now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Contracts
Above 1.097	98%		95¢
Above 1.099	97%		94¢	99¢
Above 1.101	97%		94¢	99¢
Above 1.103	96%		93¢	98¢
Above 1.105	95%		91¢	98¢
Above 1.107	92%		88¢	95¢
Above 1.109	88%		83¢	92¢
Above 1.111	81%		76¢	86¢
Above 1.113	73%		68¢	78¢
Above 1.115	63%		58¢	67¢
Above 1.117	52%		48¢	55¢
Above 1.119	42%		37¢	47¢
Above 1.121	32%		27¢	37¢
Above 1.123	23%		18¢	28¢	21.00
Above 1.125	16%		11¢	21¢
Above 1.127	11%		7¢	15¢
Above 1.129	8%		5¢	11¢
Above 1.131	6%		2¢	9¢
Above 1.133	4%		1¢	7¢
Above 1.135	4%		1¢	6¢

More on this question

All commodities & fx ›

EUR/USD price range on Oct 13, 2026 at 10am EDT?

1.1173median

1.10401.1340

Median 1.1173Middle half 1.1155 – 1.1192Above today's price 23%

EURUSD=X+0.30%FXE−0.37%

Will EUR/USD hit __ in 2026?

51%↓ 1.10

Traders see as low as 1.0988.

Reaches 1.200024%
Reaches 1.220012%
Reaches 1.24005%
Reaches 1.26005%

Falls to 1.100051%
Falls to 1.05008%
Falls to 1.00007%

Already reached: ↓ 1.16, ↓ 1.14, ↓ 1.12

EURUSD=X+0.30%FXE−0.37%

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

89%No change

No change89%▼ 3
25 bps increase10%▲ 5
50+ bps decrease<1%
25 bps decrease<1%

1 more

50+ bps increase<1%

EURJPY=X−0.02%EURGBP=X−0.13%

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

22%chance

EURUSD=X+0.30%

European Central Bank rate decision in December (Dec 17, 2026 meeting)

73%Hike 1-25bps

Hike 1-25bps73%
Maintain current rate19%▼ 1
Hike more than 25bps3%▼ 1
Cut 1-25bps2%

1 more

Cut more than 25bps1%▼ 1

EURGBP=X−0.13%EURUSD=X+0.30%

What will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit in October 2026?

103.05high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 103.05 and as low as 101.58.

Reaches 103.0053%
Reaches 103.5026%
Reaches 104.0012%
Reaches 104.508%

Falls to 102.0075%
Falls to 101.5045%
Falls to 101.0023%
Falls to 100.5010%

Already reached: ↑ 102.50, ↑ 102.00, ↑ 101.50, ↑ 102.00, ↑ 102.50, ↓ 102.00

DX-Y.NYB−0.04%UUP+0.38%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onPyth - EURUSD

Trading closesOct 16, 2026 5:00 PM ET

Traded21.00 contracts

Prices read2 h ago

Followed sinceOct 12, 2026

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

What it is about

EUR/USDEURUSD=X · settles on its price1.1194+0.30%
Invesco CurrencyShares Euro CurFXE · tracks it102.99−0.37%

Reading the odds

Each price is the market's probability: a contract at 84¢ that pays $1 if the outcome happens means traders give it an 84% chance. The number shown is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

The strikes' odds give a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way, and the middle half spans the 25th to the 75th percentile.

Every prediction market

Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.