Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in October (Oct 27, 2026 meeting)
52%Hike 1-25bps
- Hike 1-25bps52%▼ 2
- Maintain current rate45%▲ 2
- Hike more than 25bps2%▼ 3
- Cut more than 25bps1%
1 more
- Cut 1-25bps1%
Install
Bank of Thailand rate decision in October (Oct 28, 2026 meeting)
The odds
89%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate89%▲ 1
- Cut 1-25bps6%▲ 1
- Hike 1-25bps3%
- Hike more than 25bps1%
- Cut more than 25bps<1%
How the odds have moved
Maintain current rate: 89% on Oct 14, 89% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maintain current rate | 89% | ▲ 1 | 91¢ | 94¢ | 526 |
| Cut 1-25bps | 6% | ▲ 1 | 3¢ | 10¢ | 600 |
| Hike 1-25bps | 3% | 1¢ | 6¢ | 200 | |
| Hike more than 25bps | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | 400 | |
| Cut more than 25bps | <1% | 1¢ | 700 |
More on this question
All central banks & rates ›Chile rate decision in October (Oct 27, 2026 meeting)
92%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate92%
- Cut 1-25bps4%
- Hike 1-25bps2%
- Cut more than 25bps1%
1 more
- Hike more than 25bps1%
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?
53%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase53%▼ 1
- No change45%▲ 1
- 50+ bps increase2%▼ 2
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
1 more
- 25 bps decrease<1%
Central Bank of Chile decision in October
88%No change
- No change88%
- 25 bps decrease4%
- 25 bps increase4%
- 50+ bps increase2%
1 more
- 50+ bps decrease2%
Central Bank of Colombia decision in October
63%No change
- No change63%▲ 1
- 25 bps increase30%▲ 1
- 50+ bps increase5%
- 25 bps decrease1%
1 more
- 50+ bps decrease1%
Colombia rate decision in October (Oct 30, 2026 meeting)
61%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate61%
- Hike 1-25bps29%▲ 1
- Hike more than 25bps7%▲ 2
- Cut more than 25bps3%
1 more
- Cut 1-25bps<1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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